UGA looks like the correct side this week- line says it all. Throw in the situation and I don't see how the Vols get up for this one. I also think the situation sets up nicely for Florida to cover the line vs LSU, though I have my doubts about backing this team....
Totals on my radar
Michigan tt over/ MSU/MIch over63.5- FF pointed it out, just to add to this Michigan state moved the ball all over Wisky. They were stopped on the goal line and had 3 turnovers, score could have been even higher. MIch st loaded up the box to stop the run and still had trouble allowing 175, so I do think Michigan's run game takes over.
WV team over- Like this one the more I look into it. WV off a bye coming back home off a road loss to LSU, where they amassed just 51 rushing yards. Now they get to face a UNLV team that just allowed 374 and 5 tds on the ground to Nevada. UNLV also allowed 2778 4 tds on the ground to Wisky. WV follow up this one with home games vs SFlorida, Cuse, then on the road @Uconn. I think if there was a spot for WV to get the run game on track (will Devine please stand up), this is it.
ECU/Smiss o59- ECU with 2 straight 2ndh collapses, and a crap defense. The only team not to put up 40+ vs ECU was Memphis- they average 15.6 ppg and put up 27 on them. SMiss with revenge from 25-20 loss last season, I think they may run it up. They look like a fine spread play to me as well, so I'm still deciding how I play it.
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FlyersFan,
I couldn't agree more on SCAR and KEN. I really think Auburn has a hard time in this game. Again, so many big games in a row for BAMA that this is a good chance to jump on SCAR and surprise BAMA. The line is dropping though so I'm not sure if all of the value has run out on SCAR. I'll have to think about that one more.Leave a comment:
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KSU is catching 12 at home on thursday night. Who has Nebraska really beaten this year besides maybe Washington? I guess SDSU is decent, but I don't know much about them, Idaho and W.Kentucky. Not sure what to make of this, but I didn't think Nebraska would be as strong this year when all was said and done. Anyone with a strong lean here?
Also,
Doesn't the Rutgers line of +5.5 at home against UCONN seem low? Maybe a little Schiano magic on friday night lol?Leave a comment:
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Wow, from reading all the posts so far, it seems like I'm seriously in the minority in believing Oregon St is trash and that they get blown off the field this weekend.
Agree on a bunch of the other stuff i've read though, especially UGA. Tennessee looks like the sucker line of the week to me, and it seems people are falling for it hook, line, and sinker.
Hopefully I'll get a chance sometime later today or more likely tomorrow to add my thoughts in here on some more games...Leave a comment:
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Also...
UL-Lafayette's starting tailback tore knee ligaments last weekend and is out for the year. He will be replaced by a true freshman that has 29 car. for 76 yds and 0 TD on the season.
And...UL is on the wrong side this season in combined points (37-0) and offensive yards (389-161) in the fourth quarter.Leave a comment:
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From the Cleveland Plain Dealer's beat reporter for Ohio State:
As Pryor stepped away from his postgame interview Saturday, I asked him if he could run after the injury, and he said, "No." Taking his run threat away completely changes how defenses have to defend the Buckeyes. That's the concern. If Pryor getting outside isn't a worry, then defenses can better defend the pass and the running game with the tailbacks.
Just an interesting tidbit relating to OSU-Indiana. FlyersFan makes some very valid points as well above on the game.Leave a comment:
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I agree 100%. The bye week throws me off a little bit, but Oregon State is a good football team with plenty of offensive weapons. This one should stay within a TD.
Might I call Stanford -9.5 to your attention? Besides being the clearly superior team, Stanford is in a great bounceback spot here after losing at Oregon. They are at home and need a convincing win, and Harbaugh wouldn't know sportsmanship if it hit him in the taint. I expect him to have his troops fired up and have the pedal to the medal all game long. Last year USC threw a bomb for a TD in garbage time since Harbaugh was calling Time Outs to extend the game...and I think he takes full advantage with the opportunity to flat embarass them this week. I wouldn't be surprised if Stanford wins by 30. Also, USC traditionally unravels after getting their first loss. Those semi-pros expect to be in the national title hunt and with the motivation of going undefeated and sticking it to the NCAA this year out the window, I expect them to pack the season in. Plus they're just not that good...Leave a comment:
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going to the game.....:hide:....they sell beers there.....:beerbang:
My 2 cents and i really haven't looked at much and probably won't until Friday in Reno but......
IU +24........Probably my favorite play this week mostly froma situational standpoint....Tyrell Pryor is banged up and they have Wisconsin on deck @ Madison next weekend. (a) look ahead game, (b) they will be as vanilla as possible and ask pryor to do as little as he has to do for them to win this game in order to have him as close to good as possible for that game. Anyone who saw the last quarter of the Illinois game when they ran 14 straight off tackle plays....there may be a heavy dose of that in this game, especially if they are winning later in the game. IU can put up points and the weakness of the Buckeyes is their secondary. Nobody runs on OSU but IU doesn't run anyway and is ranked dead last in the big10. I really am trying to figure out how OSU is going to beat IU by margin with a limited Pryor knowing they will do everything they can to save him as much as possible (and obviously get the win). Gimme the points please.
MSU/MICH Over whatever the number is.......5 of L6 in this series have gone over and Michigan couldn't stop SpoonieLuv from racking of 400 yards of O through the air. I see a back and forth game and MSU has proven they can score the ball as well. Michigan in a wild one IMO.
UGA -10.5................seriously.....TENN is going to be ready to play Saturday after the way that LSU game ended???? UGA is not a great football team but they are better, IMO, than they have been playing. LSU stinks...absolutely stinks and has no offense whatsoever so I am not reading much into that game. If it wasn't for Jamarcus Russel II at LSU, Simms would be hands down the worst QB in the SEC. UGA wins this game big IMO. And also that line is telling you that IMO opening a 1-4 UGA team by DD who is 0-3 in the SEC .
UNR team Over.......they will put up 50+ on SJSU and not blink. Probably my 2nd favorite play of the day and the game is on ESPNU so little added incentive to show the nation they can put it on somebody.
SCAR +4 1H.........made the same play in the Arkansas game. I think eventually Bama wins but i will take a shot with SCAR to hang with them for a half. Bama off of 2 huge games the last 2 weeks and it is near impossible to do that week after week without having a letdown. Especially off that hyped up Florida game.
ARK/TXAM Over......should be about 11 interceptions returned for TD's in this one and that's just for starters.
OREST +10.............the clock has just struck October in Corvallis which means it's time for OREST to start playing good football (talk about a yearly trend). This has historically been a close series the past couple of years and I would expect the same here. OREST off a nice win over ASU at home and UAZ off a much needed bye week. OREST has weapons and in the end probably a 31-24 game. Think there is value in the Beavers at DD.
UPSET ALERT.......Kentucky over Auburn.....Kentucky back home off of 2 road losses and Auburn hits the road after 2 emotional home wins....once again from the files of it's tough to keep getting up for big games week after week. I can see Auburn taking KY lightly.Last edited by FlyersFan; 10-05-2010, 12:06 AM.Leave a comment:
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I find it interesting as well, The Cougars have covered their last 2 of 3 games and I'm waiting for the public to also jump on Wash St., The Cougars looked ok against SMU playing away not to bad and pretty physical against the Stangs. USC was a different story as they were hammered 50-16. Going up against the Bruins the Cougar defense gave up huge numbers to Franklin (a career-high 216 yards on 30 carries) and Coleman (a career-high 185 on 15) which powered UCLA to 437 rushing yards. I feel this line will go nothing but up. 35 seems like good value to me. Last years spread for this game was also 35.
I don't like that line in Clem/NC. That tells me odds makers think it's time for the Tar Heel's second win at home. How big the margin?? I think it's right there IMO. The last 3 games by both teams has yardage, pass, and rush both defensivly and offensively identical. So I'd cap it around 2-3 giving to the visitor. Interested in whiuch way you guys would lean to on this. Should be a great match-up.
Carolina has had two weeks to prepare for a huge game @home. That +9 is very enticing indeed. I think the game the Tide had against Arkansas was a tougher than expected match-up and was a small let down. They'll be ready. I just can't bank on Garcia, the guy is like Sybil. Who's a gonna show up?? I'll put a small play on Bama, which is now -7. To much talent for the Tide even going into SC in front of a crazy ass crowd.Leave a comment:
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HUGE early linemove in that ISu-Utah game. I see a 5.5 now, opened at 7.5
But high % of the bets are on Utah so sharp plays most likely.
I don't know what they are seeing as I like Utah too. I watched the whole ISU game and TT's D is horrible. As much as I'd like to see ISU win, I do not think they can even come close to hanging with Utah.
Utah has Wyoming on deck so not really a look-ahead either.
Utah by at least 7. I may jump on the -5.5 now?Leave a comment:
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