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***UDoggie's Humpday Spidey Tatts***

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  • ***UDoggie's Humpday Spidey Tatts***

    Warriors-5

    Bulls+3.5

    Kings/Celtics u190

    Raptors+4.5

    Magic/Bucks o201.5

    Jazz/Suns o224-103


    Pistons/Rockets u183+100

    Sixers team o97.5-105

    Suns team o58.5-105 1sth

    Clippers team o90.5



    3 units each




    Clippers+230

    T-Pups+340

    Magic -1.5 1stq


    1 unit each


    Last edited by Underdog88; 12-12-2007, 02:18 PM.
    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

  • #2
    I'd advise to grab the Bulls before they become faves. Bad line there IMO, & you can always buy out & attemp a middle....


    Leaning on the Dal/Tor under, waiting on that NO/Den line....
    Last edited by Underdog88; 12-12-2007, 09:50 AM.
    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

    Comment


    • #3
      Hey Udog, GL tomorrow.. I was thinking about taking the Jazz +6.5. It seems like a good spot because the lost to Portland at home and will now be facing a Phoenix team that struggles to play defense. Any thoughts?
      Overall Records


      Each play is to win the # of units posted unless it's a dog then I'm betting that amount.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by wsox08 View Post
        Hey Udog, GL tomorrow.. I was thinking about taking the Jazz +6.5. It seems like a good spot because the lost to Portland at home and will now be facing a Phoenix team that struggles to play defense. Any thoughts?
        Thanks wsox!


        Suns/jazz over & Suns 1sth over- I have a big problem with the Jazz tonight, & it involves their track record this season playing on b2b road games.....


        @LaL.....lost 119-109

        @Indy........lost 117-97

        @NYK.........lost 113-109

        @Sac..........lost 117-107

        @Dal...........lost 125-117



        the Jazz are 0-5 su on b2b road games this season, losing 4 by 8 or more... Makes it tough for me to back the Jazz. They shot horribly last night, I have a hard time thinking they repeat that performance. I'm interested to see how both of these teams respond to losing streaks, but after noticing the totals on Jazz b2b games, I added the over. no interest in backing the Suns either, as they have been in a funk lately as well, & have had a tough time covering game lines. I did however, add the Suns 1sth team total. The Suns have now gone over 58 1sth pts in 8 of their last 11 games, with the 3 that didn't being bad situationally. I won't type it all in again, but for those interested, check my Monday thread for Suns team over 1sth. I think this is a game where both teams run a bunch, & as long as the shots are falling, I like the total to land in the mid 230's.
        Last edited by Underdog88; 12-12-2007, 12:39 PM.
        Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

        Comment


        • #5
          Sink or swim tonight..... lots to say, hopefully it translates into a positive night.


          Sixers team o97.5- I like the Sixers to get over the century mark tonight against the Wolves. I also the game over, but would rather take the schizo Wolves out of the equation. Let's look at Philly's last couple games. They exploded @ home vs. Boston for 57 1sth pts. Since that game they have put up 100+ vs. Boston, NYK 2x, & the Rockets. Really impressive to put up 100 vs. Boston & Houston, as they are good defensive teams that have held opponents under 94 ppg this season. Now they are at home to face the T-wolves, who allow an average of 101.6 ppg to opponents. They have allowed 98 pts or more in 6 of 9 road games. They have also allowed 100+ in 12 of there 19 games played this season. No interest on a side in this matchup, though I would like Minny to keep it relatively close, so there's no 4thq slowdown.....
          Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

          Comment


          • #6
            Boston/Kings under- Back to the Boston home unders. First off, the large spread would suggest a fave cover, which often (especially in Celtics games this season) translates to an under. Boston home games & totals....

            Wash..............186

            Denver............212

            Atlanta............189

            NJ...................160

            Miami..............183

            GS..................187

            LaL..................201

            Knicks..............163

            Cleveland.........150

            Toronto............196


            So in 7 of Boston's 10 home games, the total fell under 190 pts. Let's look at the 3 that didn't. Denver- Boston shot 65%/Denver 45%. in a closely played game. Lakers- Boston 51%/LaL 43% lakers made it close at the end. The Totronto game Boston shot 53%, both teams combined shot 40% from behind the 3 pt line, & Boston went to the line 30 times. This is the Kings first game of an East coast road trip, & without Martin, I would expect even more emphasis on defense. I think this one ends up playing into the low 180's.



            FYI, I'm doing writeups one at a time because my computer has been screwing up & I've been losing everything I typed.... I just don't want people to think I'm purposely bumping my thread to the top LoL.
            Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

            Comment


            • #7
              Great write-ups man:thumbs:

              Tailin you on that sixers team total if you dont mind...
              "Assumption is the mother of all f**k-ups!"

              Comment


              • #8
                Thanks srn.... GL to you today :thumbs:


                Houston/Det under- This is one where IMO vegas is telling you they expect a slower pace & lower scoring defensive battle by where the line is set. The Pistons average over 100 ppg on the road, & Houston is averaging 95 ppg. So why is the line set at 183? Well, for starters, Detroit is on ab2b road game. Secondly, ahouston is a pretty solid under team at home. Now looking at the numbers, only 2 of Houston's home games have fell under this total (169 vs. port/170 vs the Spurs, & it landed on 183 vs. LaL), but the totals all fell considerably lower than their opponents regular games. I don't have the actual ats record of Houston's game totals at home, but judging by the numbers I would say they are 6-2, if not 7-1. Alston is iffy, which IMO is pretty big, as he's the best of their options at pg. & the best at spreading the ball around. I like the under with or without T-mac in.....

                Magic/Bucks over- The Bucks are in a very bad spot situationally, as they are playing their first game home off a 5 game road trip. 3 of their last 4 games have totaled over 210 pts. The Magic are 11-2 on the road, but coming off a loss where they shot 39% committed 19 turnovers & only scored 87 pts. The last meeting between these two ended in a 102-83 win for the Magic, where Orlando shot 43% & the Bucks a dismal 38%. To me that says the pace was there, but the shots weren't falling. A similar pace tonight it was I expect, hopefully both teams canshoot 43% or better. There is the revenge angle for the Bucks, but I just don't like the spot they are in.
                Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                Comment


                • #9
                  Clippers team o90.5- Bobcats rested at home & Clippers on a b2b, but the Cats just haven't been playing D. Charlotte has allowed over 90 pts in 10 straight games! I know the Clippers have horribly low scoring games on b2b so far this season, but I still think this number is too low. The Clippers have scored over 91 pts in 7 of their 9 road games. They have scored over 91 in 13 of their 20 games overall. Also playing the moneyline, as although the Bobcats have the favorable situation, I think the Clips have a better shot at winning then the line would suggest. They own the Cats biatch. sorry.


                  Bulls- books were forced to put them out as dogs because the Pacers have been playing well, are at home, & have the better record... for now. I'm basically just picking the winner here, glad I got it early at a nice number. Big lean to the Bulls team over, & the game over, but I made enough plays for today.


                  Toronto- my thoughts in JML's thread, though I didn't think the line would move & now that it has & he's on them, I wish I would have left it alone & played the under. I still don't like the fact of backing the Mavs on the road until they prove otherwise....
                  Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    GL UD :thumbs:

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                    • #11
                      Christ, I am having an epileptic seizure looking at your plays.....





                      GL though
                      Go Boilers!
                      thru 9/15


                      MLB '21 291-269-7 +95.93

                      WNBA '21 15-20-1 -11.62

                      NCAAF '21 24-20-1 +5.72

                      NFL '21 9-3-1 +16.21

                      CFL '21 4-4 -0.45

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                      • #12
                        GL UD... :beerbang:

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                        • #13
                          BB - I just had flashbacks looking at that image, LOL
                          "Assumption is the mother of all f**k-ups!"

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