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**NBA Wednesday 12/11**

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  • **NBA Wednesday 12/11**

    NBA YTD: 36-35 (-14.9 Units)


    Wow a positive finish yesterday:beer2:


    Today is a big card, lots of teams on b2b's so we'll see what happens...

    Knicks -5

    Houston pk

    Dal/Tor Under 197

    Bulls +1.5

    Portland +195

    Mavs -5.5

    Sixers Over 98 (tailing Udogg)



    Each 2 Units



    leaning hard on the Celtics under but got a funny feeling about that whole game in general...




    Good Luck and Magic better step it up tonite:thumbs:
    Last edited by SRN1985; 12-12-2007, 01:13 PM.
    "Assumption is the mother of all f**k-ups!"

  • #2
    Wrong date in title....thats why I edited...also adding some info on bucks game if people are gonna be placing wagers on it...they struggled to get back home.



    MILWAUKEE -- The decision by Milwaukee Bucks officials to delay their flight home from California because of a winter storm in the Midwest left them with more hassles on Tuesday.

    After an eight-day, 1-4 road trip that included a 95-93 loss to Sacramento on Monday, the Bucks left California early Tuesday for the four-hour flight back to Wisconsin. They were diverted to Austin Straubel International Airport in Green Bay because of nearly 6 inches of snow and ice in the Milwaukee area.

    The Bucks said they would take a bus to Milwaukee, which is normally a two-hour trip, but could take longer on the snowy and slick roads.

    The Bucks play Southeast Division leader Orlando on Wednesday night in Milwaukee.



    Go Magic
    "Assumption is the mother of all f**k-ups!"

    Comment


    • #3
      I wanted to take the Rockets too until I found out Tmac might not even play.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by TheGoods420 View Post
        I wanted to take the Rockets too until I found out Tmac might not even play.
        Yea T-Mac and Alston are game-time decisions...but I think he at least suits up for a bit. Gonna wait it out and see what happens with the line...might hedge:sm:
        "Assumption is the mother of all f**k-ups!"

        Comment


        • #5
          Hey bud, been checking your threads in the NBA and see you have a bit of a knack for this league. I just want to throw this out there, and believe me this is meant to be positive. Looking at how you wager and on the types of wagers you play, i think you would really benefit by cutting the amount of plays you put in by half. Just tonight, you have 7 2 units wagers going out. The NBA is not the sport you want to spread units in. I suggest 2-3 plays max, and either flat-bet (HD!!) or one high, two low....

          7-0 +14 units (Unlikely)
          6-1 +9.8 units
          5-2 +5.6 units
          4-3 +1.4 units
          ....
          ....
          ....
          0-7 -16.8 units (Unlikely)

          As you can see, with that much action out there, you percentages would have to 71% or above to really make risking 16.8 units justified. Not saying that cant happen tonight, but 71% is near impossible on a consistent basis. Especially when you got 7 going in one night.

          Do yourself a favor and take the next 10 NBA days and play 1-2-3 games and see where you are at by the end.

          Again, I'm no wagering guru, I just noticed your style and that how I used to be. I now typically max out 2-3, sometimes 4 games if there is a huge card. If i ever have more than 4 its because I have been drinking and i shouldnt be betting anyway. The key advantage of lowering the amount of plays is that you weed out the bad ones that eat your profit.

          Hope this helps, GL bro..:thumbs:
          ___________
          CFB: 25-28-1 (+3)

          NFL: 14-12 (+7.75)

          CBB: 07-08: 54-43(+11.25) RD 3-1

          Comment


          • #6
            I understand completely what your saying and have stated in past threads how I am trying to limit my plays to 2 or 3 max based on hitting percentages....for example yesterday I had 2 straight bets and a teaser and came out positive. It works out, however there are times when I believe on days with big cards I dont mind spreading it around because on these days I tend to not only play straight game wagers, but do halftime bets as well and yes like you said, lots of plays cancel each other out and I end up losing due to juice, but If I feel confident I can do 50%; I dont mind taking alot of action:thumbs:



            P.S - do you play on bodog poker, saw a guy named shamrock with same avatar and was from piano:dunno:
            "Assumption is the mother of all f**k-ups!"

            Comment


            • #7
              I'm horsehoe on bodog........

              Like I said, good luck with whatever you do, i'm sure you'll do fine. :thumbs:
              ___________
              CFB: 25-28-1 (+3)

              NFL: 14-12 (+7.75)

              CBB: 07-08: 54-43(+11.25) RD 3-1

              Comment


              • #8
                Damn Sixers had to have a 19 point 4th Q......could of been worse.

                3-3-1 +1.3 Units


                NBA YTD: 39-38-1 (-13.6 Units)


                baby steps:sm:
                "Assumption is the mother of all f**k-ups!"

                Comment

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