Lakers-7-104
4 units
Lakers team o99.5-105
Lakers-300
Lakers-4 1sth
2 units each
Lakers-12.5+200
Lakers/Celtics o197.5+190
1 unit each
Seriously considering a play on the Lakers ML. I can grab -300 right now @ 5D, & don't expect any major moves honestly. I am pretty confident they get the su win (obviously given the larger play ats). Should they lose, my future @ +240 cashes so it's not that large of a risk- laying 6 to win 2 units & losing would be a 1.2 unit loss including the future play. In a perfect world, the Lakers win & cover tonight, then the C's finish them in 6, & I cash the half unit future on Bos in 6 +560....
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Back a little early from vacation. Things went as planned from a su standpoint. The game 3 line was -9.5 so it was a no play- thankfully the line wasn't set at 7.5, as I would have lost anyway. Game 4 was just perfect though, as I got +285 on the Celtics. Damn near fell out of the chair I was sitting on when I called to place that wager. Some pretty inflated lines in LA! Books throwing a 7 out there, when just 1 game was decided by more than 6. Not sure I can back the Celtics here though, I think Kobe will lead the Lakers to victory. Only question to me is whether I sit on the sidelines or lay the chalk. Also thinking the total is a bit high. Be back with some thoughts...Leave a comment:
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Well thanks to the 4th quarter slowdown, the over misses & I lose some juice. Going out of town for the week today, & I'll be taking time off posting for the duration of it. I'll still be playing this series, but just sides. I have the next 3 games mapped out as follows...
Sunday
Celtics+1-102
3 units
Boston wins the series 4-2 +560
Celtics team u95+100
Lakers team u95.5-105
half unit each
Game 3
-if Celtics win game 2, Lakers ats up to 7.5 for 3 units
-if series is tied 1-1, no play for game 3
Game 4
Celtics ML for a 2 unit wager
This is how I will wager these games. Game 4 is a ml play on the C's regardless of what the series is at. I will be back Sunday to evaluate how things have progressed. Basically this is how I expect things to go.....
C's win tonight
Lakers win tuesday
C's win Thursday
If the series is split going into LA, I would no longer consider them a strong play, which is why I will lay off game 3 altogether should LA win tonight. This could potentially ruin my whole scenario. Boston will win a game in LA IMO....
As for tonight, I simply can't pass up on a line that has moved more on perception than reality. Everyone is playing up the Pierce injury- I think he'll be ok. Bottom line is a great home team is now dogged, when the line opened at -2. 3 point swing on perception, no other choice but a play on the C's. Smaller play on the team totals, but I think this will be a defensive game. Thinking the winner gets into the low 90's.
That's it for me until Sunday.... GLTA :beerbang:Leave a comment:
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horrid 2nd quarter, was so close to playing 1stq instead. Total will be a nailbiter IMO....
Lakers team u47+103
Celtics-1.5 3rdq
Lakers/C's u48-105 3rd quarter
2 units eachLeave a comment:
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good luck Udoggie with ya on the celtics game 1, not sure about the total... both teams are off for a bit and not many teams have come to the boston and shoot better than 45% and the lakers 2 losses to the celtics they shot 37.5, and 42% respectively, so im pickiing the under. Good luck with the finalsLeave a comment:
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***Udoggie's NBA Finals***
Regular season 709-699-11 +117.20 units
Playoffs 87-80-3 +32.79 units
Updated record includes future losses, with just one still kickin'
Celtics win it all +240
2 units
I'm leaving the futures alone for now. Lakers-175 is pretty steep IMO considering they don't have home court. I simply don't believe the Lakers will win all three home games, so I think in order for them to win, they'll have to steal one of the first two. The fact that this number is so high worries me, as I would have made the series a pick em. Lakers have the edge in coaching as well as the best player on the court. The Celtics have home court & the better defense. Should be great to watch. I do think the home team takes game 1 so...
Celtics-1.5-105 1sth
Celtics-138 full game
Lakers/Celtics o191.5-107
2 units each
The total opened at 195, yet has dropped down to 191.5? I have to play it... the Lakers will most likely look to push the ball, & IMO a 45% shooting performance by both teams should produce a number over the total. I think this will be a closely played game- throwing out a 99-97 final C's win.
Leave a comment: