***UDoggie's Conference Championships***

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • rjp
    replied
    Based on historical results the only thing you can say with confidence is that the Cavs and Jazz are at least coin flips.

    Leave a comment:


  • FlyersFan
    replied
    stif- interesting to see your thoughts on this one. I don't see too many other people who follow the oddsmaker and use that term "giving you their opinion". I personally think that anytime you can get the oddsmakers read on something, it is the way to go more times than not. I don't put much creedence in the whole public thing because we are the public...kind of funny how everyone always excludes themselves from that group. Public can be right or wrong and who the public likes isn't nearly as important as who the oddsmaker likes, IMO. And most of the time, the public is going to be against the oddsmaker anyway in a situation like this, so i guess it really doesn't matter. I don't do the NBA and i couldn't tell you what a good or bad line is, but in CFB and CBB, it is a great tool. GL! with it....

    Leave a comment:


  • Stifler's Mom
    replied
    Originally posted by Underdog88
    Jeeeeesus.....Spurs shoot over 55% & 50% from 3 pt land....

    Stif- IMO you'll be getting the Jazz as short dogs game 3. I don't think I'll be able to back the Jazz though, considering chasing the under though.... I'll be on the Cavs+pts Thursday, hoping to get a 6, but I doubt it. The way i see it, every game this series will be a last possesion type- game, so IMO the points are the way to go.....
    Utah is actually -2. I expected them to be a home dog, but the way I see it, the fact that they are favored only makes the play stronger.....in that there is absolutely no reason the oddsmakers would favor the Jazz, knowing they're gonna take a huge amount of public money on the Spurs, unless they thought they were going to cover a huge percentage of the time, or that the sharp money would be on Utah....or both.

    So basically they're giving you their opinion that they think the Jazz is the correct play, and that they're comfortable with taking a possible public overload on the Spurs as a dog....and this is one of those spots where I just have to trust the guys who know more about sports wagering than anyone else on the planet. The only thing that could keep me off that one is a huge percentage on the Jazz (highly unlikely), in which case I'd feel like I may be misreading the line and situation, and then it would become a no play.

    Given the line and situation however, i would not make a bet on the Spurs in game 3 with Thenextworldc's money, LOL.

    Considering backing Cleveland tonight as well. I see no reason, other than public perception, why either of these teams should be more than a -2 or -3 fave over the other one, so at nearly double that, the odds are at the least in my favor in taking the points.

    GL :beerbang:

    Leave a comment:


  • FlyersFan
    replied

    Leave a comment:


  • FlyersFan
    replied
    Last edited by FlyersFan; 05-23-2007, 11:59 AM.

    Leave a comment:


  • Underdog88
    replied
    Jeeeeesus.....Spurs shoot over 55% & 50% from 3 pt land....

    Stif- IMO you'll be getting the Jazz as short dogs game 3. I don't think I'll be able to back the Jazz though, considering chasing the under though.... I'll be on the Cavs+pts Thursday, hoping to get a 6, but I doubt it. The way i see it, every game this series will be a last possesion type- game, so IMO the points are the way to go.....

    Leave a comment:


  • Stifler's Mom
    replied
    Bills :beerbang: :beerbang:

    Gonna be with you on that under as well. Waiting to hit the Jazz side in game 3 if i can get a favorable line....actually, I'm kinda hoping SA blows them out tonight so i can get them as a home dog in game 3.

    GL

    Leave a comment:


  • emv01
    replied
    LOL...Cleveland is right up their with you....People probably still have nightmare about MJ's shot..

    Leave a comment:


  • Underdog88
    replied
    Originally posted by FlyersFan
    Buffalo.............:blackeye: :puke:

    Tell me about it.... if there is another city anywhere in America that is more cursed, I'd love to hear about it. After game 2 I knew the series was over- didn't even watch game 5 LoL. Gonna be interesting to see what moves they make- Oh well, I still got the Bills :beerbang:

    Leave a comment:


  • FlyersFan
    replied
    Buffalo.............:blackeye: :puke:

    Udoggiedog- GL!....:beerbang:

    Leave a comment:

Working...