Need some advice for tonight's game...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • bookiekilla
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 3289

    Need some advice for tonight's game...

    Ok...here's the deal...I have a 4 team 13 point teaser pending with the last team being Denver +22......I've risked 6.5 units to win 5 units for this teaser (yeah i know the odds weren't too good), but it's got 1 team left to cash, and it's a pretty big play...

    do you guys think I should try for a middle with this late game?? I'm seeing the line as san diego -7 right now, so it's a 15 point middle...but not sure if I should or if I should, for how much?

    My initial thought is to just keep my teaser at Denver +22, and hope that cashes...and not worry about middling it...

    would really like to get some thoughts from some of the regulars here...
  • BoilerBacker
    Big 10 Commish/Moderator
    • Mar 2007
    • 26278

    #2
    Normally I would say no, but I actually think SD -7 is a decent play right now.

    The other option is to wait until halftime and hope Denver does not implode (down more than 2 TD) in the first half. You should still have some good options and if the game is close, you can just keep your original play.
    Go Boilers!
    Thru 2/3
    NCAAF 2025

    168-165-9 -23.20 units

    4* 2-3
    3* 84-81-4
    2* 12-19
    2H 70-62-5

    NFL 2025

    68-65-3 -2.97 units

    4* 1-0
    3* 44-34-2
    2* 5-14
    1* 1-0
    2H 17-17-1

    NHL 2025-26

    64-60 +5.68 units

    3* 62-59
    2* 2-1

    NBA 2025-26

    89-62-2 +52.73 units

    1H 4-0-1
    2* 7-8
    3* 77-53-1
    2H 1-1

    NCAAB 2025-26

    373-367-12 -83.31 units UGH

    3* 41-40-2
    2* 8-8
    2H 58-73
    1H 69-67-5
    1H tot 197-179-5

    Comment

    • bookiekilla
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 3289

      #3
      yeah, I'm thinking that I'm going to take a chance and wait until halftime to see where I'm at with this play...

      Comment

      • FlyersFan
        Senior Member
        • Mar 2007
        • 12128

        #4
        never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

        let it ride.....:thumbs:
        I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

        Comment

        • birdsfan5
          Go Boys
          • Feb 2007
          • 5214

          #5
          Originally posted by FlyersFan
          never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

          let it ride.....:thumbs:
          He would have a good shot at a middle.:thumbs:
          NFL 0-0 +0.00units

          NCAAF 8-10 -9.20units

          Comment

          • FlyersFan
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2007
            • 12128

            #6
            Originally posted by birdsfan5
            He would have a good shot at a middle.:thumbs:
            yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.
            I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

            Comment

            • birdsfan5
              Go Boys
              • Feb 2007
              • 5214

              #7
              Originally posted by FlyersFan
              yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.
              I see what you are saying 22 points should be good.
              NFL 0-0 +0.00units

              NCAAF 8-10 -9.20units

              Comment

              • bookiekilla
                Senior Member
                • Mar 2007
                • 3289

                #8
                thanks for the comments fellas...so far i've just let it ride with the +22....going to see at halftime if I want to make a play, but at this point, i will most likely just let it ride at +22 and not make any halftime plays...atleast that's the way I'm leaning right now...

                Comment

                • bookiekilla
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 3289

                  #9
                  22 points aren't looking too good right now..24-6 right now, and its just about halftime.......going to see what the half time line is...

                  Comment

                  • BoilerBacker
                    Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                    • Mar 2007
                    • 26278

                    #10
                    i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.
                    Go Boilers!
                    Thru 2/3
                    NCAAF 2025

                    168-165-9 -23.20 units

                    4* 2-3
                    3* 84-81-4
                    2* 12-19
                    2H 70-62-5

                    NFL 2025

                    68-65-3 -2.97 units

                    4* 1-0
                    3* 44-34-2
                    2* 5-14
                    1* 1-0
                    2H 17-17-1

                    NHL 2025-26

                    64-60 +5.68 units

                    3* 62-59
                    2* 2-1

                    NBA 2025-26

                    89-62-2 +52.73 units

                    1H 4-0-1
                    2* 7-8
                    3* 77-53-1
                    2H 1-1

                    NCAAB 2025-26

                    373-367-12 -83.31 units UGH

                    3* 41-40-2
                    2* 8-8
                    2H 58-73
                    1H 69-67-5
                    1H tot 197-179-5

                    Comment

                    • BoilerBacker
                      Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                      • Mar 2007
                      • 26278

                      #11
                      just the fact that the line is SD -2 or so says a lot. Vegas thinks this is going to get worse.
                      Go Boilers!
                      Thru 2/3
                      NCAAF 2025

                      168-165-9 -23.20 units

                      4* 2-3
                      3* 84-81-4
                      2* 12-19
                      2H 70-62-5

                      NFL 2025

                      68-65-3 -2.97 units

                      4* 1-0
                      3* 44-34-2
                      2* 5-14
                      1* 1-0
                      2H 17-17-1

                      NHL 2025-26

                      64-60 +5.68 units

                      3* 62-59
                      2* 2-1

                      NBA 2025-26

                      89-62-2 +52.73 units

                      1H 4-0-1
                      2* 7-8
                      3* 77-53-1
                      2H 1-1

                      NCAAB 2025-26

                      373-367-12 -83.31 units UGH

                      3* 41-40-2
                      2* 8-8
                      2H 58-73
                      1H 69-67-5
                      1H tot 197-179-5

                      Comment

                      • FlyersFan
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 12128

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BoilerBacker
                        i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.
                        i would agree 100% with that at this point. you are on the wrong side with DEN in your teaser and that's pretty obvious. take 1/2 a payout and be happy. but you did the right thing, at least IMHO by riding out the 1H to see what happened
                        I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

                        Comment

                        • bookiekilla
                          Senior Member
                          • Mar 2007
                          • 3289

                          #13
                          so you guys think SD -3 for about 3 units is good?

                          the teaser is risking 6.5 units to win 5 units....

                          Comment

                          • Stifler's Mom
                            Moderator
                            • Feb 2007
                            • 8541

                            #14
                            Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.

                            Comment

                            • BoilerBacker
                              Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                              • Mar 2007
                              • 26278

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
                              Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.
                              they also suck hard.

                              LMAO
                              Go Boilers!
                              Thru 2/3
                              NCAAF 2025

                              168-165-9 -23.20 units

                              4* 2-3
                              3* 84-81-4
                              2* 12-19
                              2H 70-62-5

                              NFL 2025

                              68-65-3 -2.97 units

                              4* 1-0
                              3* 44-34-2
                              2* 5-14
                              1* 1-0
                              2H 17-17-1

                              NHL 2025-26

                              64-60 +5.68 units

                              3* 62-59
                              2* 2-1

                              NBA 2025-26

                              89-62-2 +52.73 units

                              1H 4-0-1
                              2* 7-8
                              3* 77-53-1
                              2H 1-1

                              NCAAB 2025-26

                              373-367-12 -83.31 units UGH

                              3* 41-40-2
                              2* 8-8
                              2H 58-73
                              1H 69-67-5
                              1H tot 197-179-5

                              Comment

                              Working...