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Need some advice for tonight's game...

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  • Need some advice for tonight's game...

    Ok...here's the deal...I have a 4 team 13 point teaser pending with the last team being Denver +22......I've risked 6.5 units to win 5 units for this teaser (yeah i know the odds weren't too good), but it's got 1 team left to cash, and it's a pretty big play...

    do you guys think I should try for a middle with this late game?? I'm seeing the line as san diego -7 right now, so it's a 15 point middle...but not sure if I should or if I should, for how much?

    My initial thought is to just keep my teaser at Denver +22, and hope that cashes...and not worry about middling it...

    would really like to get some thoughts from some of the regulars here...

  • #2
    Normally I would say no, but I actually think SD -7 is a decent play right now.

    The other option is to wait until halftime and hope Denver does not implode (down more than 2 TD) in the first half. You should still have some good options and if the game is close, you can just keep your original play.
    Go Boilers!
    thru 2/3

    NCAAF ’20 215-187-5 +75.19
    NCAAF ’21 200-169-7 +37.80
    NCAAF '22 239-216-14 +24.41

    NFL ’20 128-110-8 +50.21
    NFL ’21 94-102-3 -15.37
    NFL '22 186-165-9 +54.63

    NCAAB ’21-22 908-771-42 +196.07
    NCAAB '22-23 510-488-9 -43.13

    NHL '20-21 171-154-2 +42.97
    NHL ’21-22 223-241-5 -65.79
    NHL '22-23 153-149-3 -21.97

    NBA ’20-21 241-223-7 +11.97
    NBA ’21-22 282-266-6 -1.93
    NBA '22-23 225-246-9 -94.88

    Comment


    • #3
      yeah, I'm thinking that I'm going to take a chance and wait until halftime to see where I'm at with this play...

      Comment


      • #4
        never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

        let it ride.....:thumbs:
        I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by FlyersFan View Post
          never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

          let it ride.....:thumbs:
          He would have a good shot at a middle.:thumbs:
          NFL 0-0 +0.00units

          NCAAF 8-10 -9.20units

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by birdsfan5 View Post
            He would have a good shot at a middle.:thumbs:
            yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.
            I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by FlyersFan View Post
              yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.
              I see what you are saying 22 points should be good.
              NFL 0-0 +0.00units

              NCAAF 8-10 -9.20units

              Comment


              • #8
                thanks for the comments fellas...so far i've just let it ride with the +22....going to see at halftime if I want to make a play, but at this point, i will most likely just let it ride at +22 and not make any halftime plays...atleast that's the way I'm leaning right now...

                Comment


                • #9
                  22 points aren't looking too good right now..24-6 right now, and its just about halftime.......going to see what the half time line is...

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.
                    Go Boilers!
                    thru 2/3

                    NCAAF ’20 215-187-5 +75.19
                    NCAAF ’21 200-169-7 +37.80
                    NCAAF '22 239-216-14 +24.41

                    NFL ’20 128-110-8 +50.21
                    NFL ’21 94-102-3 -15.37
                    NFL '22 186-165-9 +54.63

                    NCAAB ’21-22 908-771-42 +196.07
                    NCAAB '22-23 510-488-9 -43.13

                    NHL '20-21 171-154-2 +42.97
                    NHL ’21-22 223-241-5 -65.79
                    NHL '22-23 153-149-3 -21.97

                    NBA ’20-21 241-223-7 +11.97
                    NBA ’21-22 282-266-6 -1.93
                    NBA '22-23 225-246-9 -94.88

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      just the fact that the line is SD -2 or so says a lot. Vegas thinks this is going to get worse.
                      Go Boilers!
                      thru 2/3

                      NCAAF ’20 215-187-5 +75.19
                      NCAAF ’21 200-169-7 +37.80
                      NCAAF '22 239-216-14 +24.41

                      NFL ’20 128-110-8 +50.21
                      NFL ’21 94-102-3 -15.37
                      NFL '22 186-165-9 +54.63

                      NCAAB ’21-22 908-771-42 +196.07
                      NCAAB '22-23 510-488-9 -43.13

                      NHL '20-21 171-154-2 +42.97
                      NHL ’21-22 223-241-5 -65.79
                      NHL '22-23 153-149-3 -21.97

                      NBA ’20-21 241-223-7 +11.97
                      NBA ’21-22 282-266-6 -1.93
                      NBA '22-23 225-246-9 -94.88

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by BoilerBacker View Post
                        i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.
                        i would agree 100% with that at this point. you are on the wrong side with DEN in your teaser and that's pretty obvious. take 1/2 a payout and be happy. but you did the right thing, at least IMHO by riding out the 1H to see what happened
                        I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          so you guys think SD -3 for about 3 units is good?

                          the teaser is risking 6.5 units to win 5 units....

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by Stifler's Mom View Post
                              Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.
                              they also suck hard.

                              LMAO
                              Go Boilers!
                              thru 2/3

                              NCAAF ’20 215-187-5 +75.19
                              NCAAF ’21 200-169-7 +37.80
                              NCAAF '22 239-216-14 +24.41

                              NFL ’20 128-110-8 +50.21
                              NFL ’21 94-102-3 -15.37
                              NFL '22 186-165-9 +54.63

                              NCAAB ’21-22 908-771-42 +196.07
                              NCAAB '22-23 510-488-9 -43.13

                              NHL '20-21 171-154-2 +42.97
                              NHL ’21-22 223-241-5 -65.79
                              NHL '22-23 153-149-3 -21.97

                              NBA ’20-21 241-223-7 +11.97
                              NBA ’21-22 282-266-6 -1.93
                              NBA '22-23 225-246-9 -94.88

                              Comment

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