Need some advice for tonight's game...

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • bookiekilla
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2007
    • 3289

    #1

    Need some advice for tonight's game...

    Ok...here's the deal...I have a 4 team 13 point teaser pending with the last team being Denver +22......I've risked 6.5 units to win 5 units for this teaser (yeah i know the odds weren't too good), but it's got 1 team left to cash, and it's a pretty big play...

    do you guys think I should try for a middle with this late game?? I'm seeing the line as san diego -7 right now, so it's a 15 point middle...but not sure if I should or if I should, for how much?

    My initial thought is to just keep my teaser at Denver +22, and hope that cashes...and not worry about middling it...

    would really like to get some thoughts from some of the regulars here...
  • BoilerBacker
    Big 10 Commish/Moderator
    • Mar 2007
    • 26585

    #2
    Normally I would say no, but I actually think SD -7 is a decent play right now.

    The other option is to wait until halftime and hope Denver does not implode (down more than 2 TD) in the first half. You should still have some good options and if the game is close, you can just keep your original play.
    Go Boilers!
    Thru 10/18

    MLB 2026

    258-293-1 -32.33 units

    3* 252-283
    2* 4-6,
    1H 2-4-1

    NFL 2026-27

    19-6-3 +31.19 units

    3* 15-4-3
    2* 2-0
    2H 2-2

    NCAAF 2026-27

    52-64 -27.13 units

    2* 6-15
    3* 36-28
    2H 10-21 Terrible

    CFL 2026

    13-8-1 +7.65 units

    3* 4-4
    2* 9-4-1

    WNBA 2026

    7-6 -0.21 units

    2* 6-6
    2H 1-0

    NHL 2026-27

    10-2 +19.08 units

    3* 10-2

    Comment

    • bookiekilla
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 3289

      #3
      yeah, I'm thinking that I'm going to take a chance and wait until halftime to see where I'm at with this play...

      Comment

      • FlyersFan
        Senior Member
        • Mar 2007
        • 12128

        #4
        never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

        let it ride.....:thumbs:
        I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

        Comment

        • birdsfan5
          Go Boys
          • Feb 2007
          • 5214

          #5
          Originally posted by FlyersFan
          never understood hedging....all you are doing is giving 1/2 your winnings away. let the thing ride. if it was good at +22 last night then it's good today at +22. i swear i see more guys compromise good bets on these sites by doing that ****...

          let it ride.....:thumbs:
          He would have a good shot at a middle.:thumbs:
          NFL 0-0 +0.00units

          NCAAF 8-10 -9.20units

          Comment

          • FlyersFan
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2007
            • 12128

            #6
            Originally posted by birdsfan5
            He would have a good shot at a middle.:thumbs:
            yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.
            I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

            Comment

            • birdsfan5
              Go Boys
              • Feb 2007
              • 5214

              #7
              Originally posted by FlyersFan
              yeah, i agree, but why mess with it i guess is my point. +22 is pretty good for a game involving 2 teams with no defenses.
              I see what you are saying 22 points should be good.
              NFL 0-0 +0.00units

              NCAAF 8-10 -9.20units

              Comment

              • bookiekilla
                Senior Member
                • Mar 2007
                • 3289

                #8
                thanks for the comments fellas...so far i've just let it ride with the +22....going to see at halftime if I want to make a play, but at this point, i will most likely just let it ride at +22 and not make any halftime plays...atleast that's the way I'm leaning right now...

                Comment

                • bookiekilla
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 3289

                  #9
                  22 points aren't looking too good right now..24-6 right now, and its just about halftime.......going to see what the half time line is...

                  Comment

                  • BoilerBacker
                    Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                    • Mar 2007
                    • 26585

                    #10
                    i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.
                    Go Boilers!
                    Thru 10/18

                    MLB 2026

                    258-293-1 -32.33 units

                    3* 252-283
                    2* 4-6,
                    1H 2-4-1

                    NFL 2026-27

                    19-6-3 +31.19 units

                    3* 15-4-3
                    2* 2-0
                    2H 2-2

                    NCAAF 2026-27

                    52-64 -27.13 units

                    2* 6-15
                    3* 36-28
                    2H 10-21 Terrible

                    CFL 2026

                    13-8-1 +7.65 units

                    3* 4-4
                    2* 9-4-1

                    WNBA 2026

                    7-6 -0.21 units

                    2* 6-6
                    2H 1-0

                    NHL 2026-27

                    10-2 +19.08 units

                    3* 10-2

                    Comment

                    • BoilerBacker
                      Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                      • Mar 2007
                      • 26585

                      #11
                      just the fact that the line is SD -2 or so says a lot. Vegas thinks this is going to get worse.
                      Go Boilers!
                      Thru 10/18

                      MLB 2026

                      258-293-1 -32.33 units

                      3* 252-283
                      2* 4-6,
                      1H 2-4-1

                      NFL 2026-27

                      19-6-3 +31.19 units

                      3* 15-4-3
                      2* 2-0
                      2H 2-2

                      NCAAF 2026-27

                      52-64 -27.13 units

                      2* 6-15
                      3* 36-28
                      2H 10-21 Terrible

                      CFL 2026

                      13-8-1 +7.65 units

                      3* 4-4
                      2* 9-4-1

                      WNBA 2026

                      7-6 -0.21 units

                      2* 6-6
                      2H 1-0

                      NHL 2026-27

                      10-2 +19.08 units

                      3* 10-2

                      Comment

                      • FlyersFan
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 12128

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BoilerBacker
                        i would play SD -3 even for at least half of your play.
                        i would agree 100% with that at this point. you are on the wrong side with DEN in your teaser and that's pretty obvious. take 1/2 a payout and be happy. but you did the right thing, at least IMHO by riding out the 1H to see what happened
                        I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

                        Comment

                        • bookiekilla
                          Senior Member
                          • Mar 2007
                          • 3289

                          #13
                          so you guys think SD -3 for about 3 units is good?

                          the teaser is risking 6.5 units to win 5 units....

                          Comment

                          • Stifler's Mom
                            Moderator
                            • Feb 2007
                            • 8541

                            #14
                            Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.

                            Comment

                            • BoilerBacker
                              Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                              • Mar 2007
                              • 26585

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
                              Yea, I agree. I see no reason to believe Denver is competitive here in the 2H. They blow hard.
                              they also suck hard.

                              LMAO
                              Go Boilers!
                              Thru 10/18

                              MLB 2026

                              258-293-1 -32.33 units

                              3* 252-283
                              2* 4-6,
                              1H 2-4-1

                              NFL 2026-27

                              19-6-3 +31.19 units

                              3* 15-4-3
                              2* 2-0
                              2H 2-2

                              NCAAF 2026-27

                              52-64 -27.13 units

                              2* 6-15
                              3* 36-28
                              2H 10-21 Terrible

                              CFL 2026

                              13-8-1 +7.65 units

                              3* 4-4
                              2* 9-4-1

                              WNBA 2026

                              7-6 -0.21 units

                              2* 6-6
                              2H 1-0

                              NHL 2026-27

                              10-2 +19.08 units

                              3* 10-2

                              Comment

                              Working...