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  • General Conference Championship Round Trends

    Thanks DBO!!! Dees Nuts.......... Lets hope we make it throught the LO!!!!!

    General Conference Championship Round Trends
    Visitors swept the ATS action for the first time since ’02 in last year’s conference title games. Not coincidentally, the combined pointspreads for the games of ’08, favorites by 21-1/2 points, marking the first time since the ’01-02 season that figure reached 20 or more. In general, home field advantage has meant very little once the teams reach this round, as since ’93, home teams are just 18-14 SU for 56%, the lowest winning percentage of any playoff round. Here are some other tidbits that could help you prepare for Sunday’s games:
    • The Championship Playoff round of the NFL postseason has produced the highest scoring games in recent years as the last 14 contests have seen an average of 46.9 PPG scored. In that span, the OVER is on a strong run of 10-3-1, for 76.9%.
    • The past 10 conference title games with totals set at 46 or higher have seen 8 OVER’s, 2 UNDER’s.
    • NFC title games have been solid OVER bets, 11-4-1 since ’93.
    • The road team leads the pointspread ledger in the conference championship round, 17-14-1 ATS since ’93.
    • When a road team is favored in the conference championship round, it is nearly always successful lately, 4-1 SU & 3-1-1 ATS since ’93. Similarly, when the road team has an equal or better record, that team is 5-2 SU & 4-2-1 ATS.
    • Road teams that have won 14 or more games on the season, including playoffs, boast a 7-2 SU & 6-2-1 ATS record in the championship round.
    • Favorites of 9-1/2 points or more in conference title games are just 5-3 SU & 1-7 ATS in their L8 opportunities.
    • Home favorites of 9-points or less are more successful than those laying more points, going 12-7 SU & ATS since ’93.
    • In past conference championship games without double-digit pointspreads, the straight up winner is 24-0-1 ATS since ’93. In other words, for Sunday, if you pick the underdog, play the money line, if you side with the favorite, take comfort in laying the points.
    • Road team wins have been far more common in the AFC, with eight in the past 16 conference championship games. Those visitors are also 9-6-1 ATS. In the NFC, home teams own a 10-6 SU record with an 8/8 split on the Vegas number.
    • Including Green Bay’s loss a year ago, championship game home teams that are not #1 seeds are just 3-5 SU & 2-5-1 ATS since ’93.
    • Non-divisional winners, or true “wildcard teams” boast an impressive 6-3 SU & 6-2-1 ATS record in their L10 times reaching the conference championships. In this decade, they are 4-1 SU & ATS with four OVER’s on the total as well.
    • Home Favorites of <=9.5 or dogs with 2+ more regular season wins than their opponent are 6-3 ATS in the championship round.
    • The secret to the road underdog upset in the championship round has been defense. In these games, the home teams are being held to just 14.4 PPG by visitors that had been allowing 16.7 PPG. In other words, good defensive road teams are most capable of pulling upsets. In fact, road teams allowing less than 20 PPG on the season are 16-8-1 ATS.
    • Compare the road upset trend to that of games won by the home team, in which the average score has been 30.1-15.9. In fact, 23 points is the magic number for home team success in the conference championships. In games where they score 23 or more, they are 14-2 SU & 13-3 ATS (81%) since ‘93. In games where home teams don’t reach 23 points, they are an awful 4-12 SU & 1-14-1 ATS (7%)!
    • For the road team in the championship round, success hinges on the modest 16-point mark. Those scoring 16 or more are 13-7 SU & 14-5-1 ATS, those producing 15 or less are 1-11 SU & 3-9 ATS
    • Unlike the Wildcard & Divisional Rounds, the road team’s scoring is a better indicator of totals results. In past championship games where the visitors scored 20 or more points, the OVER is 14-2 since ‘93. In games where they fail to reach 20 points, the UNDER is 10-4-1.

    NFL Playoff Statistical Analysis
    Here is a list of NFL playoff trends that have proven successful to follow or fade in recent years. All of these angles reflect the teams’ current statistics, including the playoff games of ’09. The records for the ’09 playoffs of each angle are also given along with the qualifying teams for this week’s games.
    Keep in mind that these are purely raw stat based angles and don’t take into account any other betting scenarios, such as line range, situational factors, or experience. Using various stats, here are 18 different playoff betting trends that have produced either better than 55% or worse than 45% results.
    Scoring
    • Home teams scoring 26.0 PPG or more are just 14-21 ATS (40%)
    Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
    • Home teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 22-17 ATS (56.4%)
    Record in ’09: 1-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Pittsburgh
    • Road teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 19-11 ATS (63.3%)
    Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
    • Home teams outscoring their opponents by less than 5.0 PPG on the season are 8-14 ATS (36.4%)
    Record in ’09: 1-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
    Rushing Stats
    • Teams that run for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 25-19 ATS (56.8%)
    Record in ’09: 1-3 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
    • Home teams that average 106 RYPG or less are 15-5 ATS (75.0%)
    Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona, Pittsburgh
    • Road teams that average 136 RYPG or more are 13-10 ATS (56.5%)
    Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
    • Teams that allow fewer rushing yards per attempt on the season are 52-38 ATS (57.8%).
    Record in ’09: 7-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Pittsburgh, Philadelphia
    • Road teams that allow 3.90 YPR or fewer are 27-11 ATS (71.1%)
    Record in ’09: 3-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
    • Road teams that allow fewer than 100.0 RYPG are 25-14 ATS (64.1%)
    Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
    Passing Stats
    • Teams that pass for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 20-15 ATS (57.1%)
    Record in ’09: 2-3 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona
    • Home teams that gain more than 7.40 yards per pass attempt or more on the season are just 9-17 ATS (34.6%)
    Record in ’09: 2-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Arizona
    • Teams that pass for more yards per game on the season and are an underdog are 22-16 ATS (57.9%)
    Record in ’09: 3-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Arizona
    • Home teams that allow 192.0 PYPG or fewer are 11-16 ATS (40.7%)
    Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Pittsburgh
    Yards Per Play Stats
    • Road teams that yield 4.90 yards per play or fewer on defense are 17-5 ATS (77.2%)
    Record in ’09: 4-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
    • Home teams outgaining their opponents by 1.00 or more yards per play are just 2-9 ATS (18.2%)
    Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: AGAINST Pittsburgh
    • Road teams outgaining their opponents by 0.25 or more yards per play on the season are 15-7 ATS (68.2%)
    Record in ’09: 5-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore, Philadelphia
    Turnover Stats
    • Road teams that enjoyed a turnover differential of more than +1.00 per game on the season are 8-2 ATS (80%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 CC: Baltimore
    Good luck. See ya in a couple of weeks to get ready for Super Bowl XLIII!
    Last edited by Billy Barooooooo; 01-16-2009, 04:50 AM.
    "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

  • #2
    notes for next year

    General Divisional Playoff Round Trends

    Although the home and road teams split the four wildcard games of a year ago, the hosts were only able to beat the Vegas number in one the games, that being Green Bay over Seattle. Those results extended what has now become a significant run of 9-1 ATS dominance by the road team in the Divisional Round. Of this year’s home teams, Carolina, NY Giants, Pittsburgh, and Tennessee, only the Steelers have hosted a Divisional Round game in the last five years.
    • Home teams have won 47 of the 64 Divisional Round playoff games since ’93. The ATS results are exactly split 31-31-2.
    • Road teams have been the hot bet of late, on runs of 9-1 ATS the L10 Divisional Round playoff games and 14-6 ATS in the L20.
    • Of the last 12 Divisional Round playoff games with pointspreads in the competitive +3 to -3 range, home teams are just 7-5 SU & 5-6-1 ATS.
    • Double-digit Divisional Round favorites own a low 10-5 SU & 7-7-1 ATS record since ’93, and are just 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS over the last three seasons.
    • The higher the pointspread, the better the chance for a high scoring game in the Divisional Round. In games with a favorite line of -6.5 or more, the OVER is 24-13.
    • #1 Seeds in Divisional Round playoff games are 7-3 SU since ’04, but just 2-8 ATS. AFC #1’s have lost five straight games ATS. UNDER the total is on a 9-2-1 run in #1 seeded games.
    • Since the ’00 season, there have been seven occasions where one team has gone into the playoffs with the league’s best record. That team is 3-4 SU & 1-6 ATS in the Divisional Round. This year that team is Tennessee.
    • #2 Seeds have split their last 10 games outright and are 4-6 ATS. OVER is the more common total occurrence in those contests, 7-3.
    • The top two seeded AFC teams have been more prone to upsets lately than their NFC counterparts. Since ’04, AFC Divisional Round hosts are 5-5 SU & 2-8 ATS. Those from the NFC are 7-3 SU & 4-6 ATS.
    • The last four teams to pull an upset in the Wildcard Round own a 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS record in the Divisional Round.
    • As strange as it sounds, the home teams in the Divisional Round with 12 wins or less are upset less often than those with 13 wins or more. Those with 12 wins or less are 25-5 SU & 16-13-1 ATS since ’93, compared to 22-12 SU & 15-18-1 ATS for 13+ win clubs.
    • Eleven regular season wins seems to be the magic number for success by road teams in the Divisional Round. They are 14-13 SU & 17-10 ATS since ‘93. Those teams that won 10 or less games in the regular season but won their wildcard game are just 3-34 SU & 14-21-2 ATS in that same span.
    • The more extreme the posted total, the better the chance of the Divisional Round playoff game going OVER the total. In games with totals of 37 or less, the OVER is 11-5. In games with totals 49 or higher, the OVER is 7-3-1.
    • The secret to the NFC road underdog upset has been defense. In fact, in the last seven NFC Wildcard Playoff games where road teams pulled upsets, the total result has been UNDER, and the home team has averaged just 10.7 PPG.
    • In terms of scoring, 27 points is the magic number for home team success in the divisional playoffs. In games where they score 27 or more, they are 29-5 SU & 26-8 ATS (76.5%) since ‘93. In games where home teams don’t reach 27 points, they are a flip-of-the-coin 15-15 SU but an awful 5-23-2 ATS (17.9%)!
    • For the road team in the Divisional Round, success hinges on the modest 18-point mark. Those scoring 18 or more are 14-13 SU & 21-6 ATS, those producing 17 or less are 3-34 SU & 10-25-2 ATS
    • Like the Wildcard Round, the home team essentially dictates the total result. In past Divisional Round games where the hosts scored 23 or more points, the OVER is 27-9-1 since ‘93. In games where they fail to reach 23 points, the UNDER is 22-5.
    NFL Playoff Statistical Analysis

    For those of you who may have missed last week’s Wildcard Article, I introduced some reasons as to why statistics are an important piece to the puzzle that is NFL playoff handicapping. But which stats matter the most to playoff success?
    To help answer this question, I’ve taken the results of past postseason games, all rounds, and cross-referenced them against the statistics of the teams playing going into that game. The statistical categories considered were some of the most common found at places like StatFox.com and other websites covering the NFL.
    Here is a list of the categories I studied:
    • Won-Lost Records
    • Offensive and Defensive Points Per Game
    • Scoring Differential
    • Offensive and Defensive Rushing Yards Per Game
    • Offensive and Defensive Rushing Yards Per Attempt
    • Offensive and Defensive Passing Yards Per Game
    • Offensive and Defensive Passing Yards Per Attempt
    • Offensive and Defensive Yards Per Play
    • Turnover Differential
    Here are the records from that article, updated to include the ’09 Wildcard games…
    Trends of Teams from Stats Recorded during a Playoff Game

    In looking at the stats that teams generate in postseason games and their relationship to winning or losing, I’ve decided to stick with the longer range study, since ’93. I firmly believe that the recipe of how teams win hasn’t changed. They still need to make big plays through the air, win the turnover battle, and put the game away by running the football. Both theoretically and statistically, these three factors have proven most vital to winning playoff games. Take a look.
    • Turnovers have proven to be the most crucial of these factors, as teams that have turned the ball over fewer times in a playoff game are an incredible 119-24-3 ATS (83.2%). Strangely, three teams last year turned the ball over fewer times and lost ATS.
    • Teams that rush for more yards in a playoff game are 127-40 ATS (76.0%). The team that is ahead typically will run the ball more, but still it is important to know which team can better control the line of scrimmage. Keep in mind though, that the record of this trend last January was just 6-5 ATS.
    • Teams that average more yards per pass attempt, or those that create more big plays through the air, have compiled a mark of 118-49 ATS (70.7%) in playoff games. Big plays via the passing game give teams leads, which in turn allow them to run the ball more and avoid turnovers.
    • When you combine the factors and find teams that have edges in all three key statistical aspects, the records go to 76-2 SU & 68-7-1 ATS (90.6%). In fact, home teams that have enjoyed edges in all three have a perfect record of 54-0 SU since 1993 in the playoffs! New England was the one home winner to do it last January vs. Jacksonville, but ironically, the Patriots failed to cover a lofty 13-1/2-point spread.
    With this recipe in hand, forecasting the games is a snap using the FoxSheets’ Game Estimator. StatFox employs back tested methods to project points, rushing yards and average, passing yards and average, total yards and yards per play, as well as turnovers, everything you need to fit the winners into the angles above.
    Statistical Angles of Teams Heading into a Playoff Game

    Taking the statistical categories I listed above and comparing the figures for the teams heading into their playoff games, I was able to come up with 33 different playoff betting systems that produced either better than 55% or worse than 45% results. If you consider that these are just pure raw statistics that are available to the average Joe bettor in the newspaper, this is a pretty extensive list. Be sure to jot down some of the teams that qualify in this year’s playoff games and take advantage.
    Won-lost Record
    • Road teams with an even or better record than host are 12-11 ATS (55%)
    Record in ’09: 1-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    Scoring
    • Home teams scoring 26.0 PPG or more are just 14-20 ATS (41.1%)
    Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: AGAINST NY Giants
    • Road teams scoring 26.0 PPG or more are 9-5 ATS (64.3%)
    Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: San Diego, Arizona, Philadelphia
    • Home teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 21-16 ATS (56.8%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Pittsburgh, Tennessee
    • Road teams allowing less than 17 PPG are 18-11 ATS (62.1%)
    Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore
    • Home teams outscoring their opponents by less than 5.0 PPG on the season are 8-14 ATS (36.4%)
    Record in ’09: 1-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Home teams outscoring opponents by more than 11.5 PPG on the season are just 4-6 SU & 1-9 ATS (10%).
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Road teams outscoring opponents by more than 11.5 PPG on the season are just 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS (0%).
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    Rushing Stats
    • Teams that run for more yards per attempt on the season are 46-40 ATS (53.5%).
    Record in ’09: 1-3 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Tennessee, San Diego, Carolina, NY Giants
    • Teams that run for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 25-18 ATS (58.1%)
    Record in ’09: 1-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: San Diego
    • Home teams that average 106 RYPG or less are 14-5 ATS (73.7%)
    Record in ’09: 1-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Pittsburgh
    • Home teams that average 136 RYPG or more are just 7-13 ATS (35.0%)
    Record in ’09: 0-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: AGAINST Tennessee, AGAINST Carolina, AGAINST Tennessee
    • Road teams that average 136 RYPG or more are 12-10 ATS (54.5%)
    Record in ’09: 1-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore
    • Teams that allow fewer rushing yards per attempt on the season are 48-38 ATS (55.8%).
    Record in ’09: 3-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Arizona, Philadelphia
    • Teams that allow fewer rushing yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 29-20 ATS (59.2%)
    Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore, Arizona, Philadelphia
    • Home teams that allow more than 4.35 YPR on the season are 7-12 ATS (36.8%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: AGAINST Carolina
    • Road teams that allow 3.90 YPR or fewer are 24-11 ATS (68.6%)
    Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore, Arizona, Philadelphia
    • Road teams that allow 4.15 YPR or more are just 11-19 ATS (36.7%)
    - Record in ’09: 0-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Road teams that allow more than 125.0 RYPG are 9-6 ATS (60.0%)
    Record in ’09: 0-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Road teams that allow fewer than 100.0 RYPG are 23-14 ATS (62.2%)
    Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore, Philadelphia
    Passing Stats
    • Teams that pass for more yards per attempt on the season and are an underdog are 19-14 ATS (57.6%)
    Record in ’09: 1-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore, San Diego
    • Home teams that gain more than 7.40 yards per pass attempt or more on the season are just 9-16 ATS (36.0%)
    Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: AGAINST Carolina
    • Road teams that gain 6.10 PYA or less on the season are 12-6 ATS (66.7%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Teams that pass for more yards per game on the season and are an underdog are 20-15 ATS (57.1%)
    Record in ’09: 1-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: San Diego, Arizona, Philadelphia
    • Teams that allow fewer passing yards per attempt on the season are 39-47 ATS (45.3%).
    Record in ’09: 2-2 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: AGAINST Baltimore, AGAINST Philadelphia
    • Home teams that allow 192.0 PYPG or fewer are 10-16 ATS (38.5%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: AGAINST Pittsburgh
    Yards Per Play Stats
    • Home teams that gain less than 5.1 yards per play on offense are just 3-8 ATS (27.3%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Home teams that gain 6.15 or more yards per play on offense are also just 3-8 ATS (27.3%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Road teams that yield 4.90 yards per play or fewer on defense are 15-5 ATS (75.0%)
    Record in ’09: 2-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore, Philadelphia
    • Home teams that outgain their opponents by 0.25 or less yards per play (differential) on the season are 6-15 ATS (28.6%)
    Record in ’09: 0-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    • Home teams outgaining their opponents by 1.00 or more yards per play are just 1-9 ATS (10%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: AGAINST Pittsburgh
    • Road teams outgaining their opponents by 0.25 or more yards per play on the season are 12-6 ATS (66.7%)
    Record in ’09: 2-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: Baltimore, San Diego, Arizona, Philadelphia
    Turnover Stats
    • Road teams that enjoyed a turnover differential of more than +1.00 per game on the season are 8-2 ATS (80%)
    Record in ’09: 0-0 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    Statistical Combination Angles
    • Teams that gain more yards per attempt both rushing AND passing are 26-21 ATS (55.3%)
    Record in ’09: 1-3 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: San Diego, Carolina, NY Giants
    • Teams that gain more yards per attempt both rushing AND passing and yield fewer rushing yards per game are 11-6 ATS (64.7%)
    Record in ’09: 1-1 ATS
    - Qualifiers for ‘09 DIV: None
    "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

    Comment


    • #3
      Thus far home teams are taking on the chin, despite the raucous crowd support these teams enjoy. Homers are 3-5 SU and against the spread, having been placed in the role of favorites a rare five times in eight games. (Fewest in eight years) As favorites, these home teams are 2-3 ATS. Though weather was more a factor for the division games, the Under has been a solid 6-2 to this point, tying the most in three years, when we also had a sixth seed (Pittsburgh) in the conference finals. In the last five years of the first two rounds of the playoffs, the Under is 25-15.
      "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

      Comment


      • #4
        For what itʼs worth, the Over is 6-2 the last four years in conference championships, more coming this week?
        "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

        Comment


        • #5
          63-0-2 ATS trend for Conference Championship games

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Since 1970, in Conference Championship games where the line is less than 10 points, the winning team is a perfect 63-0-2 against the spread.

          So based on this trend for Sunday's games, if you like the favorite don't worry about giving the points, and don't play the ML. But if you like the dog, you should play the ML instead of taking the points.
          "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

          Comment


          • #6
            "defensive hog index". The better "Defensive hog" went 4-0 this week and 10-1 last year apparently

            DEFENSIVE HOG INDEX UPDATE
            Data is current through Week 17.

            * Indicates playoff teams.

            Defensive Hog Index (through Week 17)
            Team YPA rank NPP% rank 3down% rank AVG
            1 Steelers* 3.29 1 12.2 1 31.4 1 1.0
            2 Eagles* 3.51 4 11.0 3 32.2 2 3.0
            3 Ravens* 3.56 5 10.7 5 33.5 3 4.3
            4 Vikings* 3.31 2 9.9 8 33.5 4 4.7
            5 Titans* 3.73 7 10.3 6 35.0 6 6.3
            6t Cowboys 4.23 19 11.8 2 35.6 8 9.7
            6t Bears 3.42 3 7.7 21 34.9 5 9.7
            8 Jets 3.73 6 9.0 12 38.6 15 11.0
            9t Giants* 3.97 12 11.0 4 40.7 21 12.3
            9t Dolphins* 4.17 18 9.7 9 37.8 10 12.3
            11 Buccaneers 4.31 22 10.1 7 37.9 11 13.3
            12 Redskins 3.83 9 6.9 26 35.6 7 14.0
            13 49ers 3.78 8 7.1 25 37.9 12 15.0
            14 Packers 4.6 26 9.0 11 38.1 14 17.0
            15 Jaguars 3.99 13 8.5 17 41.0 22 17.3
            16 Patriots 4.15 15 8.9 13 44.4 26 18.0
            17t Cardinals* 3.96 11 8.0 19 44.4 28 19.3
            17t Bills 4.29 21 6.6 28 36.1 9 19.3
            19t Saints 4.24 20 7.8 20 39.8 19 19.7
            19t Panthers* 4.43 23 8.2 18 39.7 18 19.7
            21 Rams 4.94 29 8.8 14 39.6 17 20.0
            22 Chargers* 4.02 14 6.8 27 40.6 20 20.3
            23t Texans 4.47 24 7.5 23 39.4 16 21.0
            23t Falcons* 4.92 28 7.5 22 38.0 13 21.0
            25 Colts* 4.17 17 8.8 15 47.4 31t 21.0
            26 Raiders 4.71 27 9.5 10 44.4 27 21.3
            27 Bengals 3.91 10 5.5 31 42.7 24 21.7
            28 Seahawks 4.16 16 6.5 29 42.3 23 22.7
            29 Browns 4.49 25 8.6 16 45.9 30 23.7
            30 Lions 5.14 32 7.2 24 45.7 29 28.3
            31 Broncos 4.98 30 6.1 30 44.1 25 28.3
            32 Chiefs 5.0 31 4.3 32 47.4 31t 31.3
            "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

            Comment


            • #7
              NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES 1970 - 08
              Season Date Result
              1970 Jan. 3, 1971 Dallas 17, San Francisco 10
              1971 Jan. 2, 1972 Dallas 14, San Francisco 3
              1972 Dec. 31, 1972 Washington 26, Dallas 3
              1973 Dec. 30, 1973 Minnesota 27, Dallas 10
              1974 Dec. 29, 1974 Minnesota 14, Los Angeles 10
              1975 Jan. 4, 1976 Dallas 37, Los Angeles 7
              1976 Dec. 26, 1976 Minnesota 24, Los Angeles 13
              1977 Jan. 1, 1978 Dallas 23, Minnesota 6
              1978 Jan. 7, 1979 Dallas 28, Los Angeles 0
              1979 Jan. 6, 1980 Los Angeles 9, Tampa Bay 0
              1980 Jan. 11, 1981 Philadelphia 20, Dallas 7
              1981 Jan. 10, 1982 San Francisco 28, Dallas 27
              1982 Jan. 22, 1983 Washington 31, Dallas 17
              1983 Jan. 8, 1984 Washington 24, San Francisco 23
              1984 Jan. 6, 1984 San Francisco 23, Chicago 0
              1985 Jan. 12, 1986 Chicago 24, Los Angeles 0
              1986 Jan. 11, 1987 New York 17, Washington 0
              1987 Jan. 17, 1988 Washington 17, Minnesota 10
              1988 Jan. 8, 1989 San Francisco 28, Chicago 3
              1989 Jan. 14, 1990 San Francisco 30, Los Angeles 3
              1990 Jan. 20, 1991 New York 15, San Francisco 13
              1991 Jan. 12, 1992 Washington 41, Detroit 10
              1992 Jan. 17, 1993 Dallas 30, San Francisco 20
              1993 Jan. 23, 1994 Dallas 38, San Francisco 21
              1994 Jan. 15,1995 San Francisco 38, Dallas 28
              1995 Jan. 14, 1996 Dallas 38, Green Bay 27
              1996 Jan. 12, 1997 Green Bay 30, Carolina 13
              1997 Jan. 11, 1998 Green Bay 23, San Francisco 10
              1998 Jan. 17, 1999 Atlanta 30, Minnesota 27 *
              1999 Jan. 23, 2000 St. Louis 11, Tampa Bay 6
              2000 Jan. 14, 2001 New York 41, Minnesota 0
              2001 Jan. 27, 2002 St. Louis 29, Philadelphia 24
              2002 Jan. 19, 2003 Tampa Bay 27, Philadelphia 10
              2003 Jan. 18, 2004 Carolina 14, Philadelphia 3
              2004 Jan. 23, 2005 Philadelphia 27, Atlanta 10
              2005 Jan. 22, 2006 Seattle 34, Carolina 14
              2006 Jan. 21, 2007 Chicago 39, New Orleans 14
              2007 Jan. 20, 2008 New York 23, Green Bay 20 *
              2008 Jan. 18, 2009 Philadelphia at Arizona

              AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES 1970 - 2007
              Season Date Result
              1970 Jan. 3, 1971 Baltimore 27, Oakland 17
              1971 Jan. 2, 1972 Miami 21, Baltimore 0
              1972 Dec. 31, 1972 Miami 21, Pittsburgh 17
              1973 Dec. 30, 1973 Miami 27, Oakland 10
              1974 Dec. 29, 1974 Pittsburgh 24, Oakland 17
              1975 Jan. 4, 1976 Pittsburgh 16, Oakland 10
              1976 Dec. 26, 1976 Oakland 24, Pittsburgh 7
              1977 Jan. 1, 1978 Denver 20, Oakland 17
              1978 Jan. 7, 1979 Pittsburgh 34, Houston 5
              1979 Jan. 6, 1980 Pittsburgh 27, Houston 13
              1980 Jan. 11, 1981 Oakland 34, San Diego 27
              1981 Jan. 10, 1982 Cincinnati 27, San Diego 7
              1982 Jan. 23, 1983 Miami 14, N.Y. Jets 0
              1983 Jan. 8, 1984 L.A. Raiders 30, Seattle 14
              1984 Jan. 6, 1985 Miami 45, Pittsburgh 28
              1985 Jan. 12, 1986 New England 31, Miami 14
              1986 Jan. 11, 1987 Denver 23, Cleveland 20 (OT)
              1987 Jan. 17, 1988 Denver 38, Cleveland 33
              1988 Jan. 8, 1989 Cincinnati 21, Buffalo 10
              1989 Jan. 14, 1990 Denver 37, Cleveland 21
              1990 Jan. 20, 1991 Buffalo 51, L.A. Raiders 3
              1991 Jan. 12, 1992 Buffalo 10, Denver 7
              1992 Jan. 17, 1993 Buffalo 29, Miami 10
              1993 Jan. 23, 1994 Buffalo 30, Kansas City 13
              1994 Jan. 15, 1995 San Diego 17, Pittsburgh 13
              1995 Jan. 14, 1996 Pittsburgh 20, Indianapolis 16
              1996 Jan. 12, 1997 New England 20, Jacksonville 6
              1997 Jan. 11, 1998 Denver 24, Pittsburgh 21
              1998 Jan. 17, 1999 Denver 23, N.Y. Jets 10
              1999 Jan. 23, 2000 Tennessee 33, Jacksonville 14
              2000 Jan. 14, 2001 Baltimore 16, Oakland 3
              2001 Jan. 27, 2002 New England 24, Pittsburgh 17
              2002 Jan. 19, 2003 Oakland 41, Tennessee 24
              2003 Jan. 18, 2004 New England 24, Indianapolis 14
              2004 Jan. 23, 2005 New England 41, Pittsburgh 27
              2005 Jan. 22, 2006 Pittsburgh 34, Denver 17
              2006 Jan. 21, 2007 Indianapolis 38, New England 34
              2007 Jan. 20, 2008 New England 21, San Diego 12
              2007 Jan. 18, 2009 Baltimore at Pittsburgh
              "First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win."

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