***Week 8 Discussion***

[akatdrake]

IND/TEN - 8.5 pts? I know IND is off a blowout, so the line is probably inflated... if they stay competitive (within 20), the line's not even seven pts. Going past the crucial numbers because they have to? Britt gone, CJ2K not on track yet... seems like a big number to me.

HOU/JAX - I have at 9.5 at BetUS... such a large number to lay vs a good defense. Now that I think about it, this line might be skewed the other way because of the performance containing the Ravens on MNF. Houston misses Johnson, but Foster is on a roll right now. Jax still only scoring 12 pts a game... I think if you bet it, you grab it under 10.

MIN/CAR - The line is spot on, but as you guys eluded to, this is a game Minnesota can win. AP is best RB in the league, and if the Vikings had any resemblence of an offense outside of him, they might be worth something on that side of the ball. The thing that concerns me is the Vikings defense against the run here. If not Newton, then Stewart or Williams... Vikings haven't came across a running QB yet this year, and usually they're not quick to adjust. Maybe a small play on the ML or Vikes 1H.

[Billy The Kid]

Agree on all the thoughts on games you guys pointed out but not sure on the Det number (seems fishy). Despite the win last week the Broncos looked terrible until the final 5 minutes of the game and had a lot of things go there way (on side kick, couple great grabs, and t-bone discovering some accuracy) All of which was done with Miami dropping back and not putting to much pressure on the Timmy. The lions are great at getting to the quarterback and should disrupt Tebows timing even more than the dolphins were able to do the first 3 quarters last week yet they are only laying -3? I don't see how this line entices the public anyway to want to play on the Broncos and see the Lions getting hit at about 92% right now which probably means a no play for me. If the books were expecting a Lions bounce back after a few poor performances wouldn't this number be closer to Det -6 or so? IMO this number seems a little off


Agree on your thoughts on Pitt Daws, NE's D is still **** but there is always the Bellicheck off a bye factor...I think the over is looking like a decent play

[Daws1089]

glad you got it started UD. I see no reason why this Houston line is -10 in some places. It is on the way down so maybe it will correct itself around 8.5 or 8, but man a ton of pts. Never a good idea to play on a team after a big blowout win on the road.


Has DET come back down to earth? There last two games have been lackluster, now they are laying a measily 3 on the road to the offensively challenged broncos? Maybe a good time to get back on the detroit train. There will be plenty of people ready to back tebow im sure.

I don't know why, but something tells me cincy stumbles out west off of the bye. It is hard to stomach a play backing charlie whitehurst. Maybe an under here.


Just around the water cooler, I havent heard anyone liking Pitt. All are on NE. I think Pitt has a better chance of stopping NE, than NE stopping Pitt. Neither team is as good as they once were, but NE is really beatable. This could be a spot they go down. Or is the fact that the steelers are home dogs tell you to go NE? Not sure yet on this one.

I think the 3.5 says eagles win too. I was thinking lots of pts in this game.

[Underdog88]

Dogs I won't play

Cardinals- horrid spot for them to come to Balty. Maybe they cover but again no way could I put money on it.


Miami- heartless team. This is a game where IMO the spread doesn't matter, NYG probably win by 30 pts.


Dallas- They beat the Rams last week, I'm not impressed. Philly got healthier out of the bye and I think the Boys lose this one.





I have nothing locked in but at first look I like

Patriots/Steelers o51- two defenses that are a shell of a what they used to be. Brady should shred the secondary, and I think Big Ben does the same.

Ravens tt over. After that horrid performance on MNF both sides of the ball are going to be amped to get back on track. Ravens D could very well score more than once. Rice prop looks good as well, following the game Suggs was wondering why Rice didn't touch the ball more. I think much like the Jets, the Ravens are going to revert back to what works, and run first.

Vikings- May just settle on an AP prop

KC- better coaching home team playing better ball right now, perception is F'ed up because everyone loves the Chargers.

[Underdog88]

Favorites I won't be on

Houston- Too high of a line imo, they just won su as a dog and are now favored by 9.5. Run game is what has been winning games for them, and the Jaguars may be able to stop them. I'm not sure if they do or not, but either way I'm not paying to find out.


Panthers- A team that can't stop the run laying chalk vs the best rb in football. Ponder vs Cam interesting game but it's pts or nothing for me.


Saints- they are on the road laying DD of a blowout win. What reason do they have to blow the Rams out?


Buffalo- Oh god no it's starting. Donald Jones still out so Buffalo will look to have Spiller at wr. Bell likely still out on the ol. Merriman done for year (no big loss other than a warm body). Kyle Williams out once again and I have a sneaking suspicion it's way worse than everyone is letting on. Throw a team that just looked horrible on the road in a rookie qb's first start, hightower done for year/Moss & Cooley out and what do you get? An inflated line. Hightower is not too big of a loss, Fred Davis is likely going to be the #1 te regardless of whether or not Cooley plays with them next year. Washington has a physical defense, which is the kind of D that Buffalo struggles with.

Chargers- they are on the road with Rivers and the same old coaching staff. They are fade or no play on the road for me right now.