added the Giants+6 & the Falcons +150 to the top. 5Dimes reduced, don't feel like waiting to see what the line does anymore, & it's a nice round number. I just don't see how Dallas can be favored by 6 pts to the Giants. No Glenn, which IMO is huge. No Ellis either... I'm banking on the Giants to show me there is life after Tiki. Putting some faith in that OL to win the battle in the trenches. Starting to look into totals, & this is what I'm leaning towards
KC/Hous u37.5- With Huard on the road & Herm as the coach, I would expect a conservative approach to this game. Heavy dose of LJ, short screens & the occasional play action to Gonzalez. I think Houston will have an improved offense, but by no means will they be explosive. Outside of Johnson, the wr core is pretty thin. Shaub needs to get some help from the run game, so Green should be getting quite a few touches. I expect pretty vanilla play calling for both teams, plus I think Houston's defense could be pretty tough this season. I would think it'll be a 17-13 type game. Lean to Houston, but the thought of laying chalk without seeing Shaub perform first, paired with having to go against a one man wrecking ball in LJ, makes me uneasy. Under or nothing for me in this game.
Den/Buff u37- I already posted my thoughts on the Bills as a whole. I think Losman will have trouble passing against the Broncos D, & relying on a rookie rb in Lynch to carry the load vs a good D is sketchy. Cutler in a hostile environment could cause some offensive misfires for Denver though. As always I suspect they'll be looking to pound the run & wear out the Bills. This leads to clock killing, so I think 37 pts is too much. The Bills total pts under 17 looks pretty good, but it's quite a conflict of interest for me.
Mia/Wash o34- Too low of a line, IMO. Miami's aging D on the road, Washington home games have a tendency to go over. Not sure about Miami's offense though....
NE/NYJ u40.5- Everyone is expecting an all out pass attack from NE, but I can see them grinding it out on the ground. I'm sure the Jets will look to establish the run, as Chad thrives off the play-action pass. Throw in 2 pretty solid defenses & you have a 37 pt total. The more I look at this, the more I prefer it to playing the side. Public loves the over, &, well you know how that goes.
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BKilla- My thoughts exactly. One thing's for sure, I couldn't back Minny with Tavaris at the helm & a bad D.
Sammy- Always good to start with a W, hopefully it continues...
FTR- Falcons line is still +142 @5Dimes, not quite sure where the line will move, if at all. Still thinking about the Jets, but I'm just not completely sold on the idea of fading the Pats in a situation they have historically succeeded in. What are your thoughts on the Ravens? I'm looking forward to that game :beer2:
Went ahead & added Philly. There is the question of how McNabb will perform, but he has always played well vs. the Pack & has Westbrook helps. Despite him lacking a top wr (though I think Brown will be solid), he still manages to get it done. All McNabb has to do is execute & avoid mistakes. I think the Eagles will be able to pressure Favre, & if they get ahead he'll be forced to abandon the run. That's when the turnovers start coming. I really like Daws' points about Philly being able to prepare for GB's 1 dimensional offense, assuming the run game isn't effective. The Eagles have a tough division to win, & need to start off strong. Although I think the Packers D could be underrated, it only makes me think Philly & under. Haven't really found a good enough reason not to play this, aside from the road-chalk aspect of it. Could GB win? Sure, but I think it's more likely Philly does- these are the games you win if you want to be considered a top team... still like the under, but the possibilities of late turnovers could equate with a late run of points (a la Colts/Saints). Still thinking about it as a smaller play.Leave a comment:
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UDogg, like the Falcons myself.
Also think Clev and Jets have a good chance of winning SU.Leave a comment:
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tailed u guys on the under...good pick and great way to start the hectic season:beerbang:Leave a comment:
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Thanks Vaz, Rah, HD, Q & the gang, nice start to the season though it got a bit hairy at the end. Now we can focus on Sunday...
Falcons @ Vikings- I'm pretty certain i'll be backing the Falcons. Tavaris Jackson? I just don't think he'll be able to generate enough in the passing game to keep Atl's D honest. IMO the Falcons load up against the run & force him to make plays. Peterson will be good in the future IMO, but are he & Moore enough to beat the Falcons? On the other side of the ball you have a team who is Petrino led, & should be able to find ways to score on Minny. Let's not forget about their rushing attack. I think Dunn/Norwood could be effective Sunday. The one drawback is I'll have to back Harrington, & what's even worse, on the road! I dunno, I still think he has the edge in QB comparison. Basically I think the Falcons have the edge on Offense, defense & coaching, plus they are dogs. Currently +142, trying to get a bit more before I play it.....Leave a comment:
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Stif why dont you get tix to the eagles/ Bills in Philly i know you are a PA man as well. Im going to that game with my dad. November 30th.Leave a comment:
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Wazzz happenin UD!
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Lookin forward to a long season of nfl/ncaa foots.
GL bro!
:beer2:Leave a comment:
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U Dog...Gl today and for the season...on the under and the colts also...Leave a comment:
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