***UDoggie's Week 1 Discussion/Plays***

[fitter]

Agree...public will be on over IMO. If for no other reason than this is the opener, and that's what they want. Not sure how or if I'll play the total, but as of right now, agree with your assessment. Have a feeling that both teams will want to highlight the run to start, but will adjust as need be, or how their respective opponent plays out. Number does seem high though. BOL :glass:

[Daws1089]

Udoggie,

I agree that losing Doss does not hurt much. I'm hearing a lot of "oh the colts lost so many guys on defense, the Corners, the Safety, LB, and Corey Simon, they will be a bad defense"

Well, its actually a good thing those guys are gone because they sucked! Their replacements atleast have a chance to be better than their originals, and at the least be just as bad, but i don't think they will be worse. McFarland on the DL is out, but it doesn't really worry me. I think the under is a good way to go.

Some dogs im looking at are Buffalo and Chicago.

[yukoncornelius]

Doggie - The under does make sense... we'll see how it actually happens on Thursday. Helluva tough opener for the Colts.

[Underdog88]

Last year we had this thread weekly discussing the games/lines. The results were great, hopefully the same goes for this year. As always I invite anyone to post their thoughts, as it's good to look at the games from different perspectives...

Finished preseason 16-17 +7.57 units, thanks to the dog moneylines. I'm setting a personal goal of 54% for the regular season. One play before I delve deeper into the games.....



Colts/Saints u52.5-110 Winner

Eagles-3-110

3 units each


Colts-5-5
Jaguars-6.5
Giants+210

2 to win 18.86


Giants+6-105

Falcons+150

Fins/Skins o17 1sth

Steelers-3-105 1sth

Panthers/Rams u43-105

Patriots/Jets u41.5-105

2 units each


Colts/Saints o24-120 2ndh Winner

1 unit




2 high powered offenses & 2 questionable defenses, but I think this line is set too high. Everyone is expecting a shoot-out. I don't even have to look at the numbers to know the public will love that over. Hell, I told my fiancee who was playing & she said "it should be a shootout". She doesn't even watch football! Last year these 2 teams played 40 games combined. How many do you think totalled over 52 pts? Twelve! Ten in the regular season. I think the gameplan for both teams will favor the under. I expect both teams to run the ball in attempts to keep each other's offenses off the field. The Colts pass D continued to improve as the season went on last year, & Sanders really can't be credited enough for that. I don't think the loss of Doss is as big a deal as some are making it. The big question is can the Colts stop the run?

Last season the Colts allowed 5.3 ypc in the regular season. Opponents were graced with short 3rd down yardage, resulting in a 90-191 3rd down conversion rate. In the playoffs, they allowed 4.1 ypc. Opponents in the playoffs had an 11-46 3rd down %. Although that's still not a great ypc against, it makes a big difference. Last year the Colts were much more balanced offensively, & I look for that to continue. I think Addai is capable of carrying the load, so the Colts don't have to rely on the pass as much.....


Next up dogs.....