JML Thursday NHL >>>

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

NHL YTD: 208-190, +22.27

Devils -191 vs Bolts
Devils -0.5 goals (reg) -112 vs Bolts
Great spot for NJ playing in TB. NJ is a top 5 team, and are have been playing like it since the break. They had a little bit of a letdown against Florida 2 nights ago, but that was in a bad spot after 4 big home wins over the likes of Boston and SJ. They've now had a day off after that loss, and will not get swept in Florida, especially by a depleted TB team. The Bolts defence is still injured, missing 3 of their top 4 rearguards, and they are still missing #1 goalie Smith, forcing youngster Ramo into another start against a good team. Last game TB gave up a whopping 49 shots, letting in 5 goals. In fact they've given up 17 goals in their last 4 games because of these defensive problems. I see more of the same tonight against a very good travelling NJ team. The Devils are the NHL's second best road team, and had won 7 straight away from home before the loss against a good Panthers team on Tuesday. Bolts are the league's second worst home team, and have not looked good on this homestand at all. The Devils also own the Bolts... winning the last 8 of 9 in this matchup, including a 7-3 blowout in this same building back in November. Weekes goes for NJ, and he's been just as good as Clemmensen. Ramo's been brutal for the most part this year, in the AHL or the NHL.

Hurricanes -144 vs Ilses
I'll fade the league's worst team, on a b2b, a 3/4 and a 4/6, and off a game with their biggest rival, losing to the Rangers last night. NYR games are really the only games that can matter to NYI at this point, and I expect a letdown...especially for a tired team. They were handled pretty easily by a struggling NYR team, losing 3-1 and getting outshot 38-26. The Canes are also a pretty decent road team this year, and have won three straight away from home, including impressive wins over Buffalo & SJ. They're still in the hunt for a playoff spot, have the better talent, are better rested, and are in the better spot.

4 Units Each


GL!

[CuseFan10]

Van Riemsdyk

Went to my high school. Just missed him by, ohhh say, a decade, lol... :beerbang:

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

looks like a good night for you. i hit with the pens but was kicking myself most of the game for playing them.

I think PHI should offer Biron and a good pick to BOS for Fernandez. Think that is a good gamble by both teams as neither guy is going to be back with their respective team next year. BOS gets a good back up for Thomas and PHI takes a chance and rolls the dice on a huge upgrade in net that may or may not be able to stay healthy.

Thanks...yeah....great night....

Fernandez would be a great fit....I agree. Rumour Mills have the Flyers offering Van Riemsdyk for Atlanta's goalie Lehtonen...

Biron's playing a bit better recently though....

[FlyersFan]

looks like a good night for you. i hit with the pens but was kicking myself most of the game for playing them.

I think PHI should offer Biron and a good pick to BOS for Fernandez. Think that is a good gamble by both teams as neither guy is going to be back with their respective team next year. BOS gets a good back up for Thomas and PHI takes a chance and rolls the dice on a huge upgrade in net that may or may not be able to stay healthy.

[FlyersFan]

dude- he went off tonight...i should post that in your thread every night....5 point night for him.....:beerbang:

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Nah...they played at home last night...not too far...

GL

[Niners<Pats]

hope i didnt push u into it but unless there is a variable like travel it should hit where did they play yesterday? flordai?

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Yeah...nothings changed with CBus except for the fact that they are on a b2b. But They are playing well, the Leafs always play ****ty at home...because so many of the Canadian kids get up for playing in the hockey centre of the universe...lol...Nash and Mason are both local kids....I'm goign to add it...wtf...

Jackets -118 vs Laughs
CBus isn't too bad on the end of b2b's (5-7-0-3), and they are streaking, and playing a bad team.

3 Units


GL

[Niners<Pats]

so sad he's out for the seaons :bang:

[FlyersFan]

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

[Niners<Pats]

i think cb jax r a worthy play as well against the leafs tonight as well as nothing has changed from two days ago when u faded them and CBS seem to be hot right now home or road

[FlyersFan]

And I'm out of CBB mode...lol...you were right, road teams killed me....I was up about 15 Units, then lost it all in the last week or so...lol...

Thx!

you found some winners, but year in and year out the lowest percentage of ATS winners is the group of road chalk and road favorites of +3 to about -3/-3 1/2. after that it becomes a different story when you are grabbing 6 or 7. still always hate laying points on the road. i also had a system i was playing in the really bad conferences where you blindly bet every home dog of +1/2 to +5. That system hit 2 years ago at around 67% and it was about 61 something % last year.


hopefully i can get some pucks time this weekend. going to the UCLA game tonight....:beerbang:

GL!