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This here NHL January!

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  • This here NHL January!

    YTD: 0-0

    As always, I play straight underdogs and have been profitable the last two years since moving from capping games to blind plays.

    NYR +130
    TOR +120
    NYI +100
    WAS +100
    CAR +100
    DET +120
    CBS +150
    COL +120
    ANA +135

    NHL 2011-2012: 122-118 // 50.83 % // +14.98 units (I quit in late December because of some family issues)
    NHL 2010-2011: 149-142 // 51.20% // +32.35 units (followed this strategy midway throughout the year, but total for the year with my capping was 202-186-3, +29.29 units)

    So it definitely requires using a smaller percent of bankroll per bet (I use 0.5% because there can be some swings), but if I start doing well, I will up that to 0.75 or 1%).

    Good luck guys. I know there aren't many NHL cappers, but I wanted to show /post that I've found straight line dogs have been well for me. You're better off if you have multiple books as you want to get the best out of these lines, but I've found it takes less time with just one book. Betus.com.pa is a great underdog book that I use.
    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
    Updated on 01/13/18
    ---
    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

  • #2
    Looking forward to following along with this. Do you play every single underdog every day? Or do you pick and choose?

    Comment


    • #3
      Thanks for the reminder Kevin. I'll always play the underdog, but only at plus money (IE: PIT vs NYR have both small faves, that's a no-play unless it moves). I usually do not sit around and wait till it moves (better uses of my time). Also, I eliminated dogs of +155 and higher, meaning I'll only bet the games +100 - +150.

      It tends to be very streaky, but I've found it's a fun way to keep track of what hockey means to me. I'm not a big fan of the sport despite being from Minnesota (shh!) but it keeps me semi-informed regarding the league.

      3-5 yesterday

      PHI +110
      CAL +105
      DAL +130
      EDM +130
      PHX +100

      :thumbs:
      NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
      MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
      MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
      NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
      Updated on 01/13/18
      ---
      One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

      Comment


      • #4
        Another thought: it will be interesting to see how long Vegas takes to step up here. Last year the first few months were very profitable and then came back down to earth... we'll see with the lock-out and ink-rust, how teams start doing and when they're able to play catch-up. I had always thought there was SO much parity in the NHL, even moreso than the MLB (because more games = more heavy faves), I thought I would test this out a couple of seasons ago - and it tended to work for me.

        Like I said, since it's a BLIND follow, I would obviously make each bet a small amount of your bankroll and certainly not weight anything that wasn't capped.
        NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
        MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
        MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
        NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
        Updated on 01/13/18
        ---
        One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

        Comment


        • #5
          Today's:

          BUF +100
          FLA +125
          CBS +105
          NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
          MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
          MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
          NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
          Updated on 01/13/18
          ---
          One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

          Comment


          • #6
            Starting out slowly...

            WIN +140
            TB +135
            FLA +130
            DAL +110
            NAS +130
            STL +105
            COL +105
            EDM +100

            *GET THE BEST LINE*
            NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
            MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
            MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
            NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
            Updated on 01/13/18
            ---
            One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

            Comment


            • #7
              5-3 last night, late home from work didnt get my picks in, sorry guys!
              NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
              MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
              MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
              NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
              Updated on 01/13/18
              ---
              One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

              Comment


              • #8
                Thursday:

                MON +115
                BUF +110
                FLA +115
                NAS +150
                DAL +105
                CBS +140
                EDM +115

                :thumbs:
                NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                Updated on 01/13/18
                ---
                One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Friday:

                  WIN +115
                  VAN +100

                  Working late again, missed early games. Sorry guys.
                  NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                  MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                  MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                  NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                  Updated on 01/13/18
                  ---
                  One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Saturday:

                    COL +140
                    CBS +140
                    DAL +130
                    PHX +115
                    EDM +105
                    NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                    MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                    MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                    NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                    Updated on 01/13/18
                    ---
                    One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Bad luck the last couple of days, down a significant portion this year already. Be aware.

                      CAR +100
                      CBS +100
                      PHX +100
                      EDM +110
                      VAN +120
                      NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                      MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                      MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                      NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                      Updated on 01/13/18
                      ---
                      One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Tuesday:

                        WIN +105
                        FLA +145
                        WAS +120
                        DAL +145

                        :thumbs:
                        NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                        MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                        MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                        NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                        Updated on 01/13/18
                        ---
                        One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Wednesday:

                          MON +135
                          MIN +110
                          EDM +110

                          :thumbs:
                          NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                          MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                          MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                          NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                          Updated on 01/13/18
                          ---
                          One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Thursday:

                            NYI +125
                            NAS +130

                            :thumbs:
                            NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                            MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                            MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                            NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                            Updated on 01/13/18
                            ---
                            One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

                            Comment

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