New England/Cincinnati Line

[Kevin]

Kevin, a 14 point home dog is a roughly 65% bet, so the oddsmaker can't possibly reach that far as the sharps would crush whatever money they thought New England would garner.

I agree man. I agree with all of Stifs and everybody elses points too.

And again, I hope I made my point that Im going against all my handicapping laurels in this situation. It'll probably come back to bite me but I just gotta do it.

I think NE BLOWS OUT cinci on Cinci's home field and makes a statement that not only are they a dynasty, but that when Tom Brady hangs em up that he will be in the same class as Joe Montana.

Im not sure I've ever seen a QB more "on" than this guy for such a long period of time.

I'll be right back here for some steaming bowl of crow should NE not cover. My whole point is this is one of those weird games to me that comes along once every handful of years.

I could be all wrong. It aint like Im killin it this yr or anything ;)

[Skinsfan]

sorry stif, but how can you say cincy is clearly better than san diego? cincy has looked god awful since week 1 and they're lucky to have 1 win.... not saying the chargers have looked any better, but clearly there is nothing "clear" about the situation

[Skinsfan]

over

[rjp]

Kevin, a 14 point home dog is a roughly 65% bet, so the oddsmaker can't possibly reach that far as the sharps would crush whatever money they thought New England would garner.

I'm going to look for a move to 7.5 myself and bet a juicy money line.

Don't bring on the conspiracy theories, though. The line has to be set this high because most people have no idea how much points are worth / how to relate that to the probability of a team winning (not to mention the fact that this is a MNF game).

[gladgarbage]

I think making this line NE -7 the oddsmakers are thinking that NE strikes very fast giving Cincy O a chance to strike back. NE aren't a slow down the game and keep the others team O on the bench to win. Brady is a go-go-go qb and I think this gives Cincy a chance with a couple of turnovers.

[GamblinMan03]

QUEER alert. BENGAL-HATER alert.

I could see Kenny Watson and the Bengals PLAYING SOME ******* BALL AGAINST THE HATRIOTS.

:gulp: :gulp: :gulp:

Well im not queer and I am not a Bengal Hater but I dont get it. How can a team that was so bad last year be playing their second MNF game in the first month of the season?

Let this be a 4pm game, I would rather see the Packers and Vikings in prime time and I would have said that before the season.

And why does the NFL have to keep sticking Dallas down our throat. We get it, they are "America's team" but did they really have to be on Sunday Night Football two of the first three weeks of the season?

Same thing with Denver last year. The team had like 5 SNF games and they didnt make the playoffs.

[BlazerAndy]

Anyway, why are the Bengals getting their second home MNF game in 4 weeks? They didnt even make the playoffs last year. I said this before, switch the damn schedule up NFL.

QUEER alert. BENGAL-HATER alert.

I could see Kenny Watson and the Bengals PLAYING SOME ******* BALL AGAINST THE HATRIOTS.

:gulp: :gulp: :gulp:

[Stifler's Mom]

Do you guys really honestly think there was any inkling of a chance of the Bengals opening around a 2 TD HOME DOG on MNF?

Of course not.

With that being said, I do however, believe that the public as a whole is having a HUGE HUGE overreaction to NE beating NYJ (a very weak team this season judging from what I've seen), SD (didn't they also lose to GB....who I'm still not sold on....plus the SD game was at home, in prime time, and NE had something to "prove", and SD has done nada this year) and pretty much the Bills backups (all the starters are hurt).

I think the problem is that "the public" is going on the quality of last year's teams, and not taking into account that NYJ was 10-6 last year, but they seem to suck this year, BUF was average last year, but is worse this year because of rebuilding the entire defense and a google plex of injuries already to guys they were counting on to fill holes left by the departure of many solid veterans, and SD clearly is not the team that dominated last year.

In short, NE has beaten up on 3 teams that have done NOTHING this season.

The Bengals are clearly better than the 3 teams I mentioned above if early season results are any indication....but it seems everyone is pretty much stuck on the fact that they gave up 51 points to the Browns, which sucks, but, they did OK at Seattle and vs Baltimore (on defense).

Now I am not saying the Bengals are better than NE, because they're not. I am saying they are clearly going to be the best team NE has faced this season. Now toss in the HUGE situational advantage they have in this one, trying to knock off the "unbeatable" Patriots at home on MNF. Then add in that for the Bengals, this is pretty much as close to a "must win" as a team can have this early in the year.

My guess is the Bengals show up this week....big time....and give the Brady Bunch all they can handle, and then some.

I definitely wouldn't be shocked if the Bengals win this outright. Not one bit.

[Shamrock]

Hey gents:

I havent been much help picking plays, so hope this helps you out on your NE/CIN game:

Rudi Johnson out for game......expect line movement. All you early jumpers are looking even better.

Good luck to all

PS - I thought this was going to be on of those NE -13 games.....i was way off, kind of like my season. Having a tough time this season, bengals, chargers and eagles killed me first three weeks.....

sham........

[ncsucharlie]

another FISHY line I see is Green Bay -1 .. it moved from -2 to -1 at that. Anyone care to shed some light, I would have thought GB would be -4 to -6 or something around there.

[Horfin]

Let's say "38"-14, LOL!

:laughing:

[Billy Barooooooo]

Gamblin did you look at the card this week! WOW do not know what game I would replace it with they all look bad!!!!:nuts:

Have a good one just giving you ****!


BB:beerbang:

[Billy Barooooooo]

Anyway, why are the Bengals getting their second home MNF game in 4 weeks? They didnt even make the playoffs last year. I said this before, switch the damn schedule up NFL.

:cry:


Hmm I would have to say it has something to do with NE! :boog:
Still should be a good game and when Cinncinati wins straight up everyone will wake up with a headache on Tuesday! :nuts:

BB:thumbs:

[GamblinMan03]

Anyway, why are the Bengals getting their second home MNF game in 4 weeks? They didnt even make the playoffs last year. I said this before, switch the damn schedule up NFL.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

I don't see that close game happening. Cincy good at home. Which year? This year they looked awful against Baltimore in their only home game. Brady/Moss/Maroney vs Cincy defence or Palmer/Johnson/backup vs Pats defence. No contest IMO. No Rudi Johnson? Big problem. I'm not sure why everyone is thinking Cincy is a good team....whos buying into Johnson's hype? Might be the same reasoning on why Chicago was perceived as great before the Dallas game...people looking at previous years, instead of the present. They have not looked great in any of the 3 games they have played, going 1-2 (and really getting lucky in their only win). I don't see it. They are not even a .500 team, IMO. A gift at less than DD. this reminds me alot of the Dallas/Chicago game. One team is playing well, one isn't. One team is a good team, one isn't. Things will play out as expected, IMO. Belichek/Brady/Moss on MNF? Throwing your money away fading that, IMO. Belichek has also owned Lewis' Bungals the past two years as well, IN CINCY, not only covering the number in each game, but blowing them out, with similar personnel, although I would say the Bengals are worse, and Pats are better than last year (Moss)....I see more of the same on Monday...Pats owning Marvin Lewis.

Pats up 17 by half, then coast to 24 point win, IMO.
Let's say "38"-14, LOL!