College Basketball Picks

Providence is laying 2.5 at home against 9-1 Seton Hall, but the market is missing the massive defensive gap. Bash breaks down why the Pirates’ suffocating defense and tempo control makes them the play in this Big East clash.

Saint Mary’s lays 13.5 at home against Florida Atlantic, and the efficiency gap tells you everything you need to know. The Gaels rank 19th nationally in adjusted net efficiency while FAU sits at 112th. Bryan Bash breaks down why this spread makes perfect sense.

Wisconsin’s laying 5.5 against Villanova on a neutral court, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story than the spread suggests. Both teams rank nearly identical in adjusted metrics, and Wisconsin’s 315th-ranked defensive rating is being severely underpriced.

Davidson’s 5.5-point home spread against Temple looks light when you examine the efficiency gap. The Wildcats rank 27th nationally in three-point shooting at 38.8%, while Temple ranks 333rd in three-point defense. Bash breaks down why this strength-on-weakness matchup favors laying the points with the Wildcats.

The Bulldogs are a perfect 6-0 at home this season and have already recorded multiple 30-plus point victories. We break down the total pick and why the 167.5 over/under number suggests a high-possession track meet that favors Georgia’s athletic depth.

VCU lays 21.5 against American University at the Siegel Center, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the massive spread makes sense when a top-40 program hosts a Patriot League opponent with a 111-spot gap in adjusted net efficiency.

Bradley lays 4.5 points on the road at Indiana State, and this number feels light. The Braves’ defensive efficiency (61st nationally) and ability to force turnovers against a Sycamores team that ranks 287th in turnovers per game creates a significant edge that the spread doesn’t fully reflect.

Southern Illinois is laying just 1.5 points at home against Illinois State, but the efficiency numbers tell a very different story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Redbirds’ elite defense and ball security make them the play in this Missouri Valley Conference matchup.

Murray State’s 6.5-point spread against Drake looks light when you examine the rebounding gap and offensive efficiency. Bash breaks down why the Racers’ 16th-ranked offense and massive edge on the glass should cover at home.

Colorado lays 17.5 points against Portland State, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. The Buffaloes’ 20th-ranked adjusted offense faces a Vikings squad ranking 239th, creating a mismatch that justifies this spread despite Colorado’s defensive issues.