Illinois is getting points at Iowa despite ranking 5th nationally in adjusted net efficiency compared to Iowa’s 34th. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Illini’s elite offense and massive rebounding advantage make them the play in this Big Ten showdown.
Bryan Bash
Free NBA Picks: Heat vs Pacers – Road Struggles Meet Team Desperation
Miami lays 7.5 on the road against a desperate Pacers team that just snapped a 13-game skid. The Heat are 7-11 away from home and dealing with the Rozier distraction. Bryan Bash breaks down why Indiana’s desperation and Miami’s road struggles make this number too high.
Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State Prediction: A Big 12 Battle of Unbeatens
Both teams enter undefeated at 9-0, but the advanced metrics reveal a massive gap. Iowa State ranks #4 in adjusted net efficiency while Oklahoma State sits at #47. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Cyclones’ elite shooting and defensive pressure make 18.5 points the right number at Hilton Coliseum.
Dallas Mavericks vs Chicago Bulls Prediction: Why This Line Feels Soft
The Bulls are laying 3 at home against a struggling Mavericks team that’s 4-13 on the road. With Dallas on a back-to-back and missing key pieces, Bryan Bash explains why Chicago should cover at the United Center.
Clippers vs Pistons Prediction: LA’s Efficiency Edge Travels to Detroit
The Clippers travel to Detroit on a back-to-back, but their talent advantage over a short-handed Pistons squad should hold up. Bash breaks down why LA’s efficiency edge and depth make them the play at Little Caesars Arena.
Wake Forest vs. North Carolina Prediction: Is 10.5 Points Too Many for the Heels?
North Carolina lays 10.5 points at home against Wake Forest in an ACC showdown. Bash breaks down why the efficiency gap and rebounding mismatch make this spread look right, not inflated.
Arkansas vs. Auburn Best Bet: Exploiting the Perimeter Shooting Disparity
Auburn’s getting a point and a half at home against Arkansas, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Arkansas ranks #25 in adjusted net efficiency while Auburn sits at #45, and the defensive gap is massive. Bash breaks down why the Razorbacks are the play.
Nebraska vs. Indiana Prediction: Can the Hoosiers End the Huskers’ Streak?
Nebraska enters Assembly Hall undefeated at 9-0, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Bryan Bash breaks down why Indiana -4.5 is the play against the Cornhuskers.
Spurs vs Celtics Prediction: Wemby Takes On a Tatum-Less Boston
The Celtics are laying 1.0 at home against a Spurs team sitting second in the West, but without Jayson Tatum, Boston’s offensive efficiency takes a hit the market hasn’t fully priced in. Bryan Bash breaks down why San Antonio’s defensive anchor and balanced scoring make them the play at TD Garden.
SMU vs. Duke Prediction: Can the Nation’s #3 Defense Stop Boopie Miller?
SMU enters at 12-3 with Boopie Miller leading a high-octane attack, but Duke’s #1 ranking in field goal defense presents a daunting hurdle. We break down the ATS pick potential of a Blue Devils squad that is forcing opponents into the lowest shooting percentages in college basketball.