UCF’s 3.5-point spread against Cincinnati comes down to an elite offensive attack facing an elite defense. Bryan Bash breaks down the efficiency numbers and explains why the Knights’ home court advantage should be the difference in this Big 12 clash.
The 76ers are laying 4.5 points in Toronto, but Joel Embiid’s questionable status and Toronto’s injury situation create massive uncertainty. Bryan Bash breaks down why the total Under 223.5 is the smarter play in a game clouded by injury concerns on both sides.
Washington’s laying 2.5 at home against Ohio State, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Bash breaks down why the Buckeyes’ elite shooting and offensive efficiency make them the play as road underdogs in this Big Ten clash.
The Timberwolves are laying 3 points at home against a Spurs team playing on back-to-back nights, but San Antonio’s length and road success make this spread worth examining. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Spurs’ defensive versatility and offensive firepower could keep this game closer than the market expects.
Illinois is getting points at Iowa despite ranking 5th nationally in adjusted net efficiency compared to Iowa’s 34th. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Illini’s elite offense and massive rebounding advantage make them the play in this Big Ten showdown.
Miami lays 7.5 on the road against a desperate Pacers team that just snapped a 13-game skid. The Heat are 7-11 away from home and dealing with the Rozier distraction. Bryan Bash breaks down why Indiana’s desperation and Miami’s road struggles make this number too high.
Both teams enter undefeated at 9-0, but the advanced metrics reveal a massive gap. Iowa State ranks #4 in adjusted net efficiency while Oklahoma State sits at #47. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Cyclones’ elite shooting and defensive pressure make 18.5 points the right number at Hilton Coliseum.
The Bulls are laying 3 at home against a struggling Mavericks team that’s 4-13 on the road. With Dallas on a back-to-back and missing key pieces, Bryan Bash explains why Chicago should cover at the United Center.
The Clippers travel to Detroit on a back-to-back, but their talent advantage over a short-handed Pistons squad should hold up. Bash breaks down why LA’s efficiency edge and depth make them the play at Little Caesars Arena.
North Carolina lays 10.5 points at home against Wake Forest in an ACC showdown. Bash breaks down why the efficiency gap and rebounding mismatch make this spread look right, not inflated.