Auburn’s getting a point and a half at home against Arkansas, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Arkansas ranks #25 in adjusted net efficiency while Auburn sits at #45, and the defensive gap is massive. Bash breaks down why the Razorbacks are the play.
Nebraska enters Assembly Hall undefeated at 9-0, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Bryan Bash breaks down why Indiana -4.5 is the play against the Cornhuskers.
The Celtics are laying 1.0 at home against a Spurs team sitting second in the West, but without Jayson Tatum, Boston’s offensive efficiency takes a hit the market hasn’t fully priced in. Bryan Bash breaks down why San Antonio’s defensive anchor and balanced scoring make them the play at TD Garden.
SMU enters at 12-3 with Boopie Miller leading a high-octane attack, but Duke’s #1 ranking in field goal defense presents a daunting hurdle. We break down the ATS pick potential of a Blue Devils squad that is forcing opponents into the lowest shooting percentages in college basketball.
Cleveland’s laying 3.5 points at home against Minnesota, but once you factor in the Wolves’ depth, two-way balance, and what happened Thursday night, that number feels stretched. Bash breaks down why Minnesota covers.
The Hornets are laying 4.5 on the road in Salt Lake City, but once you factor in Charlotte’s 6-13 road record and Utah’s offensive confidence after hanging 116 on Dallas, this number feels stretched. Bash breaks down why the Jazz at home are the play.
Michigan’s laying 18.5-19 points against Wisconsin, and the efficiency numbers justify every point of it. The Wolverines boast the #1 adjusted net rating in the country at 36.2, while Wisconsin’s defense ranks #315 in defensive rating. Bash breaks down why this spread makes complete sense.
Florida’s laying 5.5 at home against Tennessee, and the Gators’ elite defense and nation-leading rebounding should be too much for a Vols team that struggles with pace and outside shooting. Bash breaks down why Florida covers.
Vanderbilt’s 14.5-point spread over LSU looks steep for SEC play, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. The Commodores boast the nation’s #1 adjusted offensive efficiency at 127.7, and LSU’s already showing cracks with back-to-back conference losses. Bash breaks down why this double-digit spread makes perfect sense.
Golden State is laying 14 points at home against a depleted Sacramento squad missing Domantas Sabonis and Keegan Murray. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Warriors’ efficiency and depth should cover comfortably at Chase Center.