Portland’s laying 6 at home against Utah, and the market’s undervaluing the Blazers’ depth advantage. With the Jazz struggling to 4-11 on the road and dealing with frontcourt injuries, Portland’s multi-faceted offense should create enough separation to cover comfortably at Moda Center.
The Celtics are laying 11.5 at home against a compromised Bulls roster. With Coby White questionable and Chicago missing key rotation pieces, Boston’s offensive depth and Jaylen Brown’s MVP-level play should create enough separation to cover the double-digit spread at TD Garden.
The Warriors head to Intuit Dome with Stephen Curry rolling after a 31-point performance, while the Clippers just surrendered 146 points to Boston. Bash breaks down why Golden State’s offensive efficiency and LA’s defensive vulnerabilities make this line more favorable than it appears.
Charleston’s laying 2.5 at home against William & Mary, but the 16-point gap in adjusted net efficiency tells a different story than the Cougars’ five-game winning streak. Bash breaks down why the Tribe’s elite defense and tempo control make them the value play.
Yale brings a top-10 adjusted offense into Brown’s gym as 8.5-point favorites. The efficiency gap is massive, and the Bulldogs’ elite shooting should overwhelm Brown’s solid defense. Bash breaks down why the number makes sense and where the value lies.
The Rockets are laying 8 points at home against a Suns team missing Grayson Allen and coming off an emotional win. Houston’s depth and pace should create margin even without Alperen Sengun in this Toyota Center matchup.
McNeese lays 10.5 at home against Stephen F. Austin in a Southland clash between 7-2 teams. Bryan Bash breaks down why the efficiency gap and stylistic matchup make this spread look light, with the Cowboys’ elite pressure defense and offensive rebounding creating multiple paths to a comfortable cover.
The 76ers are laying 12 points at home against a Jokic-less Nuggets squad, but Denver’s 13-7 road record and Jamal Murray’s shot creation make this spread feel too wide. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Nuggets can keep it close.
Michigan State is laying 11.5 at home against USC, and the efficiency gap tells the whole story. The Spartans rank #4 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency while USC sits at #171 on defense. Bash breaks down why this spread makes sense and why the Trojans are in for another tough Big Ten road test.
The Knicks are laying 3 at Detroit, but the Pistons’ 12-3 home record and Cade Cunningham’s elite play make this spread too wide. Bryan Bash breaks down why the home dog has the edge in a tighter matchup than the market suggests.