Michigan lays 24.5 points against McNeese, and the nation’s #1 adjusted net efficiency rating makes this number look right. Bash breaks down why the Wolverines’ elite defense and pace advantage will overwhelm the Cowboys’ slow-tempo attack in this Sunday night mismatch at Crisler Center.
Arizona’s laying 32.5 against South Dakota State at McKale Memorial, and the efficiency gap is staggering. The Wildcats rank 6th nationally in adjusted net efficiency while the Jackrabbits sit at 158th. Bash breaks down why this monster spread might actually be too low.
Purdue’s laying 25.5 against a hot Kent State team, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Bryan Bash breaks down why this massive spread makes sense when a MAC squad faces Big Ten elite at Mackey Arena.
Michigan State is laying 26.5 against Cornell’s high-powered offense, but the 20-point gap in adjusted defensive efficiency tells the real story. Bash breaks down why the Spartans’ elite defense will suffocate the Big Red at the Breslin Center.
Alabama lays 16.5 against hot-shooting Yale, but the pace and rebounding mismatches point to a Crimson Tide blowout. Bash breaks down why the Bulldogs’ impressive offensive numbers won’t translate against SEC speed and athleticism.
Dallas brings a 3-11 road record into Portland with Anthony Davis questionable. The Mavericks are getting +2.5, but their road struggles and Portland’s offensive firepower after beating Boston suggest this line is giving Dallas too much credit.
The Knicks are laying 8.5 points on the road in New Orleans, and despite their road struggles, the efficiency gap against a depleted Pelicans team makes this number look manageable. Bash breaks down why New York should cover at Smoothie King Center.
Golden State lays 3.5 at Brooklyn, but the Warriors’ 6-12 road record and the Nets’ return of Cam Thomas create a tighter matchup than the line suggests. Bash breaks down why Brooklyn plus the points is the play.
The Timberwolves are laying 5.5 points on the road at United Center, but once you dig into how Chicago’s ball movement and home execution match up against Minnesota’s star power, that margin starts to feel stretched. Bash breaks down why the Bulls have the tools to keep this one competitive.
The Spurs are laying 4 points at home against Cleveland, and once you factor in San Antonio’s depth advantage and the Cavs’ road struggles at 6-8, this number feels light. Mitchell will score, but the Spurs have the balance to pull away late.