The Warriors are laying 8 points at home on Christmas Day, but once you dig into the matchup data and what Dallas has shown recently with Cooper Flagg and Anthony Davis, this spread starts to feel stretched. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Mavericks plus the points is the play.
The Knicks are laying 5.5 at home on Christmas Day, and the market is pricing in their 14-2 home record and Cleveland’s road struggles. But with Donovan Mitchell averaging 30.6 PPG and the Cavaliers showing offensive depth in their last win, this spread feels stretched. Bash breaks down why the points hold value at Madison Square Garden.
Oklahoma City is 14-0 at home and laying 9 points on Christmas Day, but San Antonio just beat them by 20 twice in eleven days. Bash breaks down why the Spurs’ recent dominance in this matchup makes the spread too high, even at Paycom Center.
The Lakers are getting 2.5 points at home on Christmas Day against the Rockets, but the real story is Luka Doncic’s questionable status. With both teams dealing with key injuries and coming off blowout losses, this spread feels tight for a reason. Bash breaks down why the Lakers plus the points is the play.
Denver is laying 3.5 at home on Christmas, but their 9-5 home record and Minnesota’s road success make this spread too steep. Edwards and Randle have the firepower to keep this close against Jokic and the Nuggets.
Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers (3) at CIN. Backup quarterbacks plus December weather equals under in playoff desperation game.
Buffalo has struggled as a favorite this season, while Philadelphia has become a road warrior’s delight. Is Jalen Hurts’ ball security (just 0.9 giveaways per game) enough to spoil the Bills’ home-field advantage? Check out our free pick and betting trends.
Arizona is desperate to snap a seven-game losing streak, but they’re facing a Bengals team that just dropped 45 points. Is the over a lock, or will the Cincinnati weather dampen the scoring? Check out our free pick and Week 17 betting tips.
New England Patriots vs New York Jets (-13.5) at BAL. Patriots facing mentally defeated Jets in must-win spot creates perfect storm for blowout.
Tampa Bay is 7-8 and fighting for the NFC South, while Miami evaluates rookie Quinn Ewers. Discover why the efficiency gap and a 5.5-point spread at Hard Rock Stadium create a complex betting puzzle for Week 17.