Houston and Texas Tech meet again with the Cougars laying 1.5 points on the road. Both teams sport identical 18.4 adjusted net ratings, but Houston’s elite defense gives them the edge in this Big 12 slugfest. Bash breaks down why the under is the play.
Iowa State heads to Stillwater laying 9.5 against Oklahoma State in a Big 12 rematch. The Cyclones boast the nation’s best field goal percentage and a massive efficiency edge, but can they cover on the road against a fast-paced Cowboys team?
Cleveland travels to Orlando on Saturday as a 1-point underdog, but without Darius Garland and on the second night of a back-to-back, the Cavs’ depth gets tested. Orlando’s 13-7 at home and potentially getting Jalen Suggs back—this line’s too tight for a Magic team defending their floor.
UConn’s laying 10.5 against Villanova in a Big East battle at Gampel Pavilion, and the spread’s built entirely on defensive dominance. The Huskies rank 10th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency while the Wildcats sit at 94th, creating a gap that’s magnified in a slow-paced, low-possession environment.
Virginia lays 6.5 to 7 points against North Carolina in a battle of 8-1 ACC contenders. The efficiency numbers tell the story: Virginia ranks 9th nationally in adjusted offensive efficiency while Carolina sits 58th. Both teams defend, but the Cavaliers’ shooting edge from three (39.8% vs 31.7%) could be the difference in a methodical, half-court battle at JPJ Arena.
The Knicks are getting a point on the road in Philadelphia, but this Saturday matinee comes down to Karl-Anthony Towns’ questionable status. Bash breaks down why the under is the smart play regardless of who suits up.
The Vols are seeking their fifth straight win over the Tide, but they are winless ATS on the road this year. Read our full preview for a sharp SEC basketball pick and an injury update on Troy Henderson.
The Warriors are getting 6.5 points at Target Center without Butler and Kuminga. Minnesota’s depth and home-court efficiency make this number look short against a Golden State rotation that’s paper-thin on the road.
Purdue lays 5.5 to 6 points against Illinois in a Big Ten heavyweight clash featuring two top-11 teams in adjusted net efficiency. Bryan Bash breaks down why the #3 adjusted offense in America deserves more respect than this spread suggests.
Detroit lays 3.5 at home against a Rockets team playing on a back-to-back after overtime in Philly. The Pistons are 17-4 at Little Caesars Arena while Houston struggles at 11-13 on the road, but Cade Cunningham’s questionable status is the swing factor in this matchup.