Golden State lays 4.5 on the road in Dallas without Jimmy Butler, and that spread doesn’t account for the Warriors’ 8-13 road record or the rotation adjustments they’re facing. Dallas is 13-11 at home with Anthony Davis and Cooper Flagg providing enough firepower to keep this competitive.
UNC Wilmington heads to William & Mary as 1.5-point road favorites in a CAA clash that pits contrasting styles. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Tribe’s tempo advantage and home court make them the right side despite the Seahawks’ impressive 9-1 record.
Miami travels to Portland on a back-to-back without Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro, facing a Trail Blazers team that just got Deni Avdija back. The schedule spot and rotation depth tell the story—Portland’s small home number looks like value.
South Florida is a 2.5-point road favorite at UAB despite losing there three weeks ago in a 109-106 shootout. The efficiency numbers explain the spread, but that 166.5 total? Bryan Bash breaks down why the over is the play in this American Conference rematch.
Can Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun overcome the Sixers’ home-court advantage? We analyze the pace metrics and provide a free pick for tonight’s 221.5 total as Embiid reclaims the paint.
Wisconsin brings elite offensive efficiency into Penn State, laying 5.5 points against a Nittany Lions team on a five-game skid. Bash breaks down why the Badgers’ firepower should overcome their defensive issues in this Big Ten matchup.
The Pistons lay 9.5 in New Orleans, and the spread tells you everything about where these teams stand. Detroit’s 31-10 record and balanced attack should overwhelm a depleted Pelicans squad missing key rotation pieces. Bash breaks down why this number feels light.
Boston is laying 11 points at TD Garden against a gutted Indiana squad that’s 2-18 on the road. Jaylen Brown is rolling, the Pacers are missing key pieces, and the Celtics should cover the double-digit spread at home.
Toronto lays 4.5 on the road against a Kings team that’s 12-32 and just allowed 130 to Miami at home. The Raptors are 26-19 with an efficiency edge that’s wider than the spread suggests. Bash breaks down why this number is too low.
Arizona’s laying 13.5 to 14 points at home against Cincinnati, and the efficiency numbers tell you exactly why. The Wildcats rank 6th nationally in adjusted net efficiency while the Bearcats sit at 128th. Cincinnati’s elite defense will keep it close early, but their 318th-ranked offensive rating means they can’t score enough to hang around at McKale Memorial Center.