Chad Fox

Seattle has been nearly perfect on the road, but Carolina is 5–2 at home and fighting to wrap up their division. Discover why the point spread at Bank of America Stadium favors the Seahawks’ stingy secondary in this Week 17 clash.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts (-6.5) at DEN. Jacksonville’s elite run defense neutralizes Taylor while Lawrence stays hot against depleted Colts secondary.

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs (-13) at LV. Elite Denver defense vs third-string QB Oladokun creates massive mismatch favoring road favorite.

Derrick Henry is averaging nearly 100 rushing yards over the last two weeks and now faces a Patriots run defense that has dropped to 18th in DVOA. We break down the against the spread movement and why TreVeyon Henderson’s emergence in the Patriots’ backfield makes the 48.5-point total a prime target for a high-scoring Sunday night affair.

Las Vegas enters as a massive 14.5-point underdog, fresh off a shutout loss where they mustered only 75 total yards. We analyze the point spread and why Houston’s pass rush, led by Will Anderson Jr. and Danielle Hunter, is primed to exploit a Raiders offensive line that has allowed a league-high 49 sacks this season.

Detroit enters as a 7-point favorite, boasting the NFL’s #1 scoring offense (30.6 PPG). However, the confirmed absence of T.J. Watt (lung) shifts the burden to Rodgers and a Pittsburgh offense that ranks 8th in points per play (0.431). We analyze the point spread and why Watt’s injury transforms this matchup from a defensive battle into a high-stakes indoor shootout.

Atlanta Falcons vs Arizona Cardinals (-3) at TB. Road favorite getting points against defensively-challenged home team that’s quit. Is that the play or is Chad banking on another bet?

Chicago’s ground game, led by D’Andre Swift, is averaging over 150 yards per game. Facing a Packers front missing its anchor, we analyze the point spread and why the Bears’ league-leading turnover margin makes them a formidable home favorite in this primetime rematch.

New York Jets vs New Orleans Saints (4.5) at JAC. Saints’ recent defensive improvement against Jets’ league-worst turnover margin creates clear value laying points.

With rookie Jaxson Dart leading a developmental offense, the Giants are catching a field goal at home. Chad examines the total pick and situational trends that suggest this game might favor a higher-scoring outcome than the market implies.