Texas Tech allows just 11.3 points per game, but they haven’t faced a roster as deep as Dan Lanning’s Ducks. Is the point spread of -2 an insult to the Big 12 champs, or will Oregon’s playoff experience prevail? Check out our free Orange Bowl betting tips.
Kevin West
Nebraska vs. Utah Prediction: Can the Huskers Slow Down Utah’s Run Game?
Utah enters Allegiant Stadium averaging a staggering 269.8 rushing yards per game. Discover why the “market signal” and Nebraska’s ability to shorten the game make the +15.5 spread a strategic play in this New Year’s Eve finale.
Tennessee vs. Illinois Prediction: Why the Music City Bowl Line is Crashing
Tennessee vs Illinois (-2.5) at Nissan Stadium. Illinois getting points with better coaching continuity and superior ATS record against overvalued Tennessee.
LSU vs. Houston Prediction: Sharp Money Moves the Kinder’s Texas Bowl Spread
With the line jumping from -1.5 to -3, the betting market is tipping its hand for the Texas Bowl. Our breakdown looks at why taking the points might be the best bet for value seekers.
Clemson vs South Carolina CFB Week 14 Pick Against the Spread
Clemson vs South Carolina (2) at Williams-Brice Stadium. Two struggling offenses in cold weather rivalry game screams under 46. Two struggling offenses in cold weather rivalry game screams under 46.
Texas A&M vs Texas CFB Week 14 Pick Against the Spread
The Texas A&M -2.0 line is a trap created by public bias. Texas +2.0 is the primary sharp play, driven by Reverse Line Movement (RLM), the Aggies’ horrific 96.55% Red Zone TD rate allowed, and their 5-11 ATS record over their last 16 games.
The MACtion Freeze: Ignoring the Spread and Hammering the Under 45 Total
Kent State vs Northern Illinois MAC Finale Preview: Kent State ranks 112th in FBS scoring (19.9 PPG) while Northern Illinois checks in at 129th (15.5 PPG). The Under 45 emerges as the sharp play with combined FBS-only average of 35.4 PPG against a generous line.
Kansas State vs. Utah Odds: Why This 17.5-Point Line Is the Most Inflated Number of the Week
Utah is a massive 17.5-point favorite, but the line stability suggests this spread is severely inflated. We break down why K-State’s nation-leading turnover defense and dual-threat QB Avery Johnson make the Wildcats +17.5 the best bet.
Hawai’i vs. UNLV Prediction and Odds
UNLV is 8-2 and playing at home, but Vegas is only favoring them by 3 points. Why? Because Hawai’i has been a spread-covering machine (7-3 ATS). We break down the red zone mismatch and why Micah Alejado outdueling Anthony Colandrea is the sharp bet of the week.
Louisiana vs. Arkansas State Prediction: Why Sharps Are Fading the Red Wolves in Thursday Night Football Trap
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS at home, but the line is dropping from -3 to -2.5. Why are the sharps fading the Red Wolves? We break down the Thursday night matchup and explain why Louisiana’s dual-threat QB D’Wayne Winfield is the key to an upset.










