Everyone’s buying into the home-dog hype, but Kevin West says the data tells a different story. With Washington State covering 75% of its road games and Oregon State floundering ATS, he explains why this short number is pure value.
Kevin West
Texas Tech vs Kansas State CFB Week 10 Pick Against the Spread
Texas Tech rolls into Kansas State as a touchdown favorite, but Kevin West says the market’s missing one thing: the Wildcats have owned this series for nearly two decades. With eight straight wins and a 16-4 home record, he breaks down why K-State’s value runs deeper than the spread suggests.
Vanderbilt vs Texas CFB Week 10 Pick Against the Spread
The line has dropped from -3 to -2 as sharp bettors quietly back Vanderbilt over Texas. Kevin West explains why the Commodores’ discipline, coaching edge, and balanced offense make them the smarter play against the spread.
Houston vs Arizona State CFB Week 9 Pick Against the Spread
The market drop from ASU -8.5 to -7.5 after a headline win screams sharp resistance. Kevin West explains why pros are backing Houston, how tempo and coaching create value, and what the numbers say about this conference battle in Tempe.
Texas A&M vs LSU Picks & Predictions: Home Dog Value in Death Valley
Texas A&M’s undefeated run faces its toughest test at LSU, where the Tigers have dominated this matchup both straight up and ATS. Kevin West breaks down the market traps, sharp indicators, and why the home dog might be the right side in this SEC showdown.
San Diego State vs Fresno State CFB Week 9 Pick Against the Spread
The Old Oil Can rivalry renews as San Diego State visits Fresno State in a pivotal Mountain West clash. Kevin West breaks down the betting angles, line movement, and why fading public money might be the sharp play this week.
California vs Virginia Tech CFB Week 9 Pick Against the Spread
Virginia Tech enters as 4.5-point favorites against a Cal team that’s been living on borrowed time. Kevin West breaks down why the Hokies’ ground game and home-field edge could be the difference in a Friday night fight for bowl positioning.
Texas vs Kentucky CFB Week 8 Pick Against the Spread
Texas looks overvalued after their Red River domination. With line movement tightening and sharp action favoring the under, Kentucky may be the live home dog in this SEC showdown.
Ohio State vs Wisconsin CFB Week 8 Pick Against the Spread
Ohio State opened -27 and slipped to -25 despite heavy public action on the Buckeyes. Kevin West explains why that line movement — and the total drop to 41 — signals sharp value on the Badgers and the under in Madison.
North Carolina vs California CFB Week 8 Pick Against the Spread
Cal opened -11.5 and dropped to -10 with no injury news — a classic signal that the books are nervous. Kevin West sees value in the points as Bill Belichick’s UNC squad looks to grind out a cover under the lights in Berkeley.










