I lost a little ground in both college and the pros last week, surrendering one unit in each.
But it could have been worse.
I pulled back from betting a few Sunday NFL games that ended up losing and would have added to the damage.
Why did I decrease the number of bets I planned on making?
I
did so for a reason that will sound strange until I explain it, but here it is – my timing belt needed to be replaced.
This, on top of the fact that I had to delay moving into my new home, so I’m stuck paying hotel bills for a week. I love room service, but it’s an unexpected expense.
Like my timing belt.
What do timing belts and hotel bills have to do with sports betting?
It’s always been my belief that everything in life is connected.
Like I always say, if you go to work only to find out you’ve been laid off, and on the drive home your car breaks down, and when you get home you find a “Dear John” letter from your wife saying she left you, AND she took your dog, then it’s probably not a good week to bet on the Commodores to beat Aggies.
Or the Ravens to beat the Chiefs.
Etc., etc.
You might believe in biorhythms, or that there is a flow to life and that everything is connected, or you might think it’s hokey.
But I believe.
And it saved me a bunch of units on Sunday, as I’ll explain in my NFL article later this week.
College Review
Split with my Asterisk Plays.
Vanderbilt had the spread covered when they pulled their starters at the end of the fourth quarter, went to the prevent defense, and I got back doored with about 58 seconds left in the game.
New Mexico scored a late TD to get me the cover in that game.
For my forum play, I used Arizona, and they came up lame. A 1-2 week.
NFL Review
I took the Ravens, who weren’t even close to competitive. They’ve lost to the Bills, they’ve lost to the Chiefs. They have no path to the Super Bowl – if they can’t beat the top teams in the AFC during the regular season, they have no chance to win in the postseason when Lamar Jackson has a well-established history of flailing.
Regular Season Wins Update
Mixed results for Mississippi Over 8′ and the New York Giants Under 5′.
Got a big win with Mississippi against #4 LSU in a game that I had marked down as a possible loss/lean to the Rebels.
LSU and Kentucky were both losses on last year’s schedule, losses that cost Ole Miss a chance at making the postseason playoffs.
This year, the Rebels beat them both.
Mississippi looks like Championship material to me. They’re now the #4 team in the country.
On deck, Washington State, in what I hope is not a look-ahead game, with a trip to #12 Georgia next up on the schedule.
The New York Giants pulled a rabbit out of the hat, putting Jaxon Dart in at QB and getting a victory over the Chargers. Dart looked okay, but he was helped out by Herbert, who looked like he usually looks – a slightly above average quarterback, but one who is missing something: the killer instinct, the Refusal to Lose attitude that inspires the players around him.
Lake Lamar, he’ll never win the big one.
New York fans and sports writers are overjoyed. They think Dart is their savior.
But it was just one game, and it’s more than likely that the guy they think is their newest Messiah is just a bloke named Brian (someone will get that reference, yes?) because next up on their schedule is a winnable game against the 0-4 Saints, but after that their next three are against the Eagles twice and the Broncos.
“Blessed are the cheese makers” (if you got the first reference, you’ll get that one too.)
WNBA Update
I wave the white flag.
The Minnesota Lynx, a team that hadn’t lost two games in a row all season, lost three straight to the Phoenix Mercury and got ousted from the playoffs.
I’m down for the season about 5′ units and won’t try to recover any of them in the remaining games. I need to concentrate on football.
This week?
Well, it’s a bit of bad news/good news/bad news.
Bad news – no Asterisk Plays this week.
Good news – I have two NP Under spots.
Bad news – they barely qualify, and if the line moves the wrong way, they’ll both come off the board.
After having no NP spots last week, I have two Unders and four Overs this week (the Over is 1-4 this year, making it good Fade material.)
I’ll share all six spots in my next article, along with When to Buy Recommendations.
