Bash breaks down UNLV at San Diego State with the Aztecs laying 9.5 at Viejas Arena. The market trusts SDSU’s home dominance, but UNLV’s adjusted offensive efficiency and Q1 resume suggest value on the Rebels getting nearly two possessions.

Bash is targeting the total in this neutral-site MVC clash, where Northern Iowa’s elite defense meets Illinois State’s offensive efficiency in a game the market is pricing as a defensive slugfest.

Bash breaks down VCU at Dayton in a Friday night A-10 showdown, backing the Rams’ superior offensive efficiency and recent dominance at UD Arena despite the Flyers’ home-court edge.

Bash breaks down UCF at West Virginia, fading the Mountaineers’ home mystique and backing the Knights’ superior offensive efficiency in a Big 12 clash with major bubble implications.

Bash breaks down St. John’s at Seton Hall, backing the Johnnies’ 8.6-point adjusted net rating edge to overcome Seton Hall’s elite defense in a ranked Big East clash at the Prudential Center.

Bash breaks down Columbia at Harvard, fading the Crimson’s 4.5-point home spread despite their dominance in the series. Columbia’s rebounding edge and Harvard’s 3-7 ATS home mark create value on the underdog in this Ivy League clash at Lavietes Pavilion.