College Basketball Picks

Can Gonzaga’s #2 ranked adjusted efficiency overwhelm the Lions’ defense? We analyze rebounding margins, transition scoring, and the best bet for this Jan 4 West Coast Conference battle.

Seton Hall is laying just 2.5-3 points at home against Creighton, and the efficiency gap says this line is generous to the Bluejays. Bash breaks down why the Pirates’ elite defense and turnover creation should control this Big East battle.

South Florida lays 6 to 6.5 points at home against UAB in an AAC matchup. Bash breaks down why the Bulls’ offensive efficiency advantage and UAB’s inability to shoot from deep make this home favorite a strong play despite the Blazers’ elite defense.

Saint Mary’s hosts Seattle U laying 10.5 points in a WCC clash that comes down to efficiency and rebounding. Bash breaks down why the Gaels’ elite defense and massive rebounding edge overcome the pace concerns to deliver a comfortable cover at home.

Indiana’s laying 7.5 points at home against Washington, but the efficiency numbers suggest this spread is too low. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Hoosiers’ elite defense and balanced offense should cruise past the Huskies in Big Ten action.

NC State is laying 4.5 at home against Virginia, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. Bash breaks down why the Cavaliers’ elite adjusted offensive efficiency and massive rebounding advantage make them the value side in this ACC matchup.

Arkansas lays just 2.5 points against Tennessee in an SEC showdown, but the efficiency numbers suggest the Razorbacks should be favored by more. Bryan Bash breaks down why Arkansas’s offensive superiority and elite ball security create significant value in this matchup.

Georgia’s laying 5.5 at home against Auburn, and the efficiency numbers suggest this line might actually be short. The Bulldogs rank #8 nationally in adjusted net efficiency while Auburn sits at #45, and that 10-point gap gets exploited when Georgia pushes the pace at home.

Purdue heads to the Kohl Center as 6.5-point favorites against Wisconsin, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Boilermakers’ 7th-ranked adjusted offense should exploit Wisconsin’s 315th-ranked defensive rating in this Big Ten clash.

Alabama lays 5.5 points at home against Kentucky in a pace-versus-defense showdown. Bash breaks down why the Tide’s elite offense and home court should overwhelm Kentucky’s shooting woes.