College Basketball Picks

UConn’s laying 11.5 on the road at Xavier, and the efficiency gap tells the whole story. The nation’s 10th-ranked adjusted net efficiency team faces the 116th-ranked squad in a Big East matchup where defensive dominance should decide the outcome. Bash breaks down why the Huskies cover comfortably.

George Washington brings the 25th-ranked adjusted offense to Richmond, but their 308th-ranked defensive rating is a glaring weakness. Bash breaks down why the Spiders’ elite three-point defense and home-court advantage make them the play as small underdogs in this A-10 matchup.

NC State lays 9.5 at home against Wake Forest in an ACC clash, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. The Wolfpack’s 11th-ranked adjusted offense should dominate despite Wake’s solid defensive credentials. Bash breaks down why this spread makes perfect sense.

Bowling Green lays 4.5 points at home against undefeated Miami (OH), and Bash breaks down why the adjusted efficiency numbers and tempo advantage make the Falcons a strong play despite the RedHawks’ perfect record.

Butler’s 7-2 with an explosive offense, but Creighton’s pace control at home could be the great equalizer. Bash breaks down why the Bluejays’ ability to slow this game down makes them the play at -5.5 in this Big East matchup.

North Carolina hosts Florida State as 14.5-point favorites, and the efficiency gap tells the story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Tar Heels’ elite defense will suffocate FSU’s struggling offense in this ACC clash at the Dean Dome.

New Mexico visits Boise State in a late-night Mountain West clash with the Broncos favored by 5.5. Bryan Bash breaks down why Boise’s elite adjusted defensive efficiency and home court advantage make this spread worth backing despite New Mexico’s hot streak.

Louisville’s 8.5-point spread at California undersells a massive talent gap. The Cardinals rank 9th in adjusted net efficiency while Cal sits 66th, feasting on cupcakes. Bash breaks down why Louisville’s elite offense and defense should cover comfortably on the road.

Michigan lays 24.5 points against McNeese, and the nation’s #1 adjusted net efficiency rating makes this number look right. Bash breaks down why the Wolverines’ elite defense and pace advantage will overwhelm the Cowboys’ slow-tempo attack in this Sunday night mismatch at Crisler Center.

Arizona’s laying 32.5 against South Dakota State at McKale Memorial, and the efficiency gap is staggering. The Wildcats rank 6th nationally in adjusted net efficiency while the Jackrabbits sit at 158th. Bash breaks down why this monster spread might actually be too low.