College Basketball Picks

UCLA’s laying 26.5 at home against UC Riverside, and the adjusted efficiency gap tells you everything you need to know. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Bruins cover big at Pauley Pavilion.

The Buckeyes rank 44th in adjusted offensive efficiency, while Grambling struggles at 346th defensively. Discover why the “mismatch math” makes Ohio State a confident ATS pick despite the near four-touchdown line.

Villanova and Seton Hall both sit at 16.2 adjusted net efficiency, but the path to that number tells the real story. Bash breaks down why Seton Hall’s elite defense gives them the edge at home in this Big East showdown.

UCF travels to Florida Atlantic as 7.5-point road favorites, and the efficiency numbers support laying the points. Bryan Bash breaks down why FAU’s 358th-ranked three-point defense creates a catastrophic mismatch against UCF’s elite perimeter shooting.

BYU ranks 14th in adjusted net efficiency, facing an Eagles defense ranked 277th. Is the -35.5 point spread too high, or is a blowout inevitable in Provo?

Indiana enters as a 23.5-point favorite, backed by the nation’s #12 ranking in assists per game (19.7). While Siena ranks #12 nationally in scoring defense, we analyze the point spread and why the Saints’ 355th-ranked three-point production makes them a vulnerable road underdog against an Indiana team averaging nearly 11 made threes per game.

The total is set at 131.5, reflecting a clash of “glacial” tempos. Discover why the total pick and Saint Mary’s #7 national rank in free-throw percentage provide the statistical edge for tonight’s best bet as Northern Iowa looks to Leon Bond III to spark a primetime upset.

Illinois lays 8.5 against Missouri in the Braggin’ Rights rivalry, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the #5 adjusted net efficiency Illini should dominate a Missouri team with serious defensive issues.

Florida’s laying 28.5 at home against Colgate, and the efficiency numbers tell a clear story. The Gators’ elite defense and nation-leading rebounding create a massive mismatch against a slow-paced Patriot League team. Bash breaks down why this spread makes sense and why there’s value on the home favorite.

NC State’s elite offensive efficiency (#11 nationally at 122.6) creates a massive gap against Ole Miss’s struggling offense (#232 in scoring). Bash breaks down why the Wolfpack should cover 6.5-7 points on a neutral court despite the Rebels’ defensive strengths.