College Basketball Picks

Clemson lays 6.5 points at home against Cincinnati, and the 16-point adjusted net efficiency gap tells the story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Tigers’ elite ball security and Cincinnati’s offensive struggles make this spread look light.

California hosts Columbia in an intriguing cross-country matchup between 8-1 and 9-1 teams. Bash breaks down why the Golden Bears’ superior ball security and home court advantage make them worth backing at -8.5 despite Columbia’s impressive record.

Vanderbilt’s nation-leading adjusted offensive efficiency of 127.7 meets Wake Forest’s solid but overmatched defense. Bryan Bash breaks down why the 4.5-point spread undervalues the Commodores’ dominant offensive attack in this Saturday afternoon showdown.

Nick Martinelli remains a force, but the loss of key rotation players for both sides has tested bench depth. We break down the against the spread movement and why Finley Bizjack’s scoring efficiency makes the Bulldogs the definitive free pick for today’s afternoon tip-off.

Purdue enters with a top-10 offensive rating, but they face an Auburn squad that thrives on transition and disruptive defense. We analyze the point spread and why the Boilermakers’ systematic execution—averaging over 20 assists per game—creates a major challenge for a Tigers defense that has struggled away from home this season.

The Buckeyes just survived a double-overtime thriller, while the Tar Heels have cruised through their last four outings. Discover why the total pick of 154.5 and the contrast between Ohio State’s #32 scoring offense and UNC’s #23 scoring defense provide the statistical edge for tonight’s best bet.

Providence is laying 2.5 at home against 9-1 Seton Hall, but the market is missing the massive defensive gap. Bash breaks down why the Pirates’ suffocating defense and tempo control makes them the play in this Big East clash.

Saint Mary’s lays 13.5 at home against Florida Atlantic, and the efficiency gap tells you everything you need to know. The Gaels rank 19th nationally in adjusted net efficiency while FAU sits at 112th. Bryan Bash breaks down why this spread makes perfect sense.

Wisconsin’s laying 5.5 against Villanova on a neutral court, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story than the spread suggests. Both teams rank nearly identical in adjusted metrics, and Wisconsin’s 315th-ranked defensive rating is being severely underpriced.

Davidson’s 5.5-point home spread against Temple looks light when you examine the efficiency gap. The Wildcats rank 27th nationally in three-point shooting at 38.8%, while Temple ranks 333rd in three-point defense. Bash breaks down why this strength-on-weakness matchup favors laying the points with the Wildcats.