Wright State’s laying 4 to 4.5 at home against Robert Morris, but the efficiency numbers suggest this line is about two possessions too generous to the Raiders. Bash breaks down why the Colonials’ elite three-point shooting and offensive rebounding edge make them the play in this Horizon League rematch.

North Texas lays 2.5 at home against Florida Atlantic in an American Conference defensive battle. The Mean Green rank 43rd in adjusted defensive efficiency while FAU struggles on the road at 4-7. Breaking down why this total of 140.5 screams under in a pace-down slugfest.

Memphis lays 4.5 at home against UAB in a rematch the Tigers dominated two weeks ago, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. UAB’s elite ball security and rebounding edge make them live underdogs in a game the market might be overvaluing.

Iowa ranks 22nd nationally in effective field goal percentage and has held seven different opponents to 60 points or fewer this season. With Wisconsin struggling to find defensive consistency lately, this matchup comes down to whether the Badgers can outscore a team that specialized in slowing the game to a crawl.

Michigan State leads the Big Ten in rebounding margin and ranks #1 nationally in defensive rebounding percentage. This means Ohio State will likely get exactly one shot per possession, putting immense pressure on their perimeter players to be nearly perfect in a hostile environment.

Kansas is laying 10 points at Allen Fieldhouse against Cincinnati, but the Bearcats’ #13 adjusted defense and the market’s respect for their grind game make this number intriguing. Breaking down the efficiency gaps and why Cincinnati +10.5 has value in a rock fight.

Georgia enters this game ranked in the top 25, but they’ve been reeling lately while Texas is playing its best basketball of the season. The Bulldogs give up way too many easy looks near the rim, which is why the Longhorns have landed as Bryan Bash’s best bet to keep this within a bucket.

Kentucky has lost back-to-back games and is just 3-4 on the road this year. While the Tigers have been in a tailspin, playing at Neville Arena is a different beast entirely, which is why they’ve landed as Bryan Bash’s best bet to finally stop the bleeding and cover the short number.

Laying points with UConn on the road has been a losing recipe all year, especially with Villanova’s Duke Brennan averaging a double-double lately. The Wildcats are playing with house money right now, which is why they’ve landed as Bryan Bash’s best bet to keep it tight.

Tennessee visits Vanderbilt in a ranked SEC showdown with the Commodores favored by 4 points at Memorial Gym. The spread makes sense based on efficiency metrics, but the 151 total ignores two top-35 offensive units that can both score in the mid-70s. Bryan Bash breaks down why the over is the play.