Purdue brings the #3 adjusted offensive efficiency in the country into Carver-Hawkeye Arena, and the 5.3-point net rating gap over Iowa is too significant to ignore. Bash breaks down why the Boilermakers’ elite playmaking and road success make them the sharp play at -2.

Arizona’s laying 9 to 9.5 against Texas Tech at McKale Memorial Center, and the market is pricing in the Red Raiders’ elite three-point shooting to keep this competitive. The #1 Wildcats hold a 9.6-point net rating edge with the #2 adjusted defense in the country, but Texas Tech’s 39.1% from deep creates variance. The total at 157 looks exploitable in a 71-possession pace-up environment.

Iowa State lays 7 at home against Kansas in a top-15 Big 12 clash. The Cyclones hold a 4.7-point net rating edge, but Kansas’s elite defense and strong road ATS record make this number worth examining closely.

Cornell’s laying just 2.5 to 3 points at Princeton after beating the Tigers by 23 two weeks ago. With a massive efficiency advantage and elite shooting, the Big Red should roll again at Jadwin Gymnasium.

Saint Louis is laying 18.5 to 19 points on the road at Loyola Chicago, and the adjusted efficiency numbers tell you everything you need to know. The Billikens rank 22nd nationally with a plus-18.9 net rating, while Loyola Chicago sits at 342nd with minus-17.3. That’s a 36-point chasm, and the market isn’t being disrespectful—it’s being accurate.

Miami (OH) lays 10.5 against struggling Ohio in a MAC clash that pits the nation’s top offensive rating against one of the country’s worst defenses. Bryan Bash breaks down why this spread makes perfect sense.

Pennsylvania hosts Columbia at The Palestra as slight underdogs despite the Lions’ recent struggles. Bryan Bash breaks down why Penn’s three-point shooting and home-court advantage make them the play against a Columbia team that’s lost three of five.

Yale’s laying 9 points on the road at Dartmouth, and the efficiency numbers explain why. The Bulldogs rank 9th nationally in adjusted offense at 123.4, while Dartmouth sits 297th defensively. With elite shooting and ball security facing a turnover-prone opponent, this spread makes sense.

Siena’s laying 3.5 to 4 points at home against Quinnipiac in a classic MAAC pace clash. The Saints rank 10th nationally in opponent scoring and play at the 357th-ranked tempo, while the Bobcats want to run and shoot threes. Bash breaks down why Siena’s defensive identity and home court control this matchup.

Boise State lays 9.5 points at home against UNLV in a Mountain West clash that pits elite defense against porous defense. Bryan Bash breaks down why the efficiency numbers and pace advantage make the Broncos the play in ExtraMile Arena.