College Basketball Picks

Flemings is rewriting the record books, but he face a TCU defense that ranks top-20 in KenPom efficiency. We look at the player matchups, including the glass-cleaning battle, to find the edge for our free pick tonight.

Iowa lays 9.5 at home against USC in a clash of elite offenses with contrasting tempos. The Hawkeyes’ suffocating defense and glacial pace should dictate this Big Ten battle at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.

Utah State’s laying 13.5 at home against Wyoming, and the efficiency gap tells you everything you need to know. The Aggies rank 16th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency, while Wyoming limps in having lost four of five. Bash breaks down why this spread is earned and why Utah State covers comfortably.

Rick Pitino has the Johnnies playing “lava-hot” basketball, but laying double digits in-conference is always a gamble. We analyze the ATS trends and why the oddsmakers might be overcorrecting for St. John’s recent win streak.

Georgia’s laying just 2.5 at home against Tennessee, but the efficiency numbers tell a different story. The Bulldogs rank #8 nationally in adjusted net rating, and their tempo advantage could turn this into a rout at Stegeman Coliseum.

UConn lays 15.5 at home against Providence in a Big East rematch, and the market is telling you that 103-98 shootout nine days ago was a complete outlier. Bash breaks down why the Huskies control everything at Gampel and why the efficiency gap makes this number very playable.

Alabama sits as 10.5-point favorites against Missouri in a matchup that highlights a massive efficiency gap. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Crimson Tide’s elite offense and pace advantage should overwhelm the Tigers’ defensive vulnerabilities at Coleman Coliseum.

Saint Louis lays 9.5 at home against George Washington in a battle of elite offenses, but only one team plays defense. Breaking down why the Billikens’ pace and defensive efficiency should overwhelm the Colonials’ porous defense.

Michigan’s laying 10.5 at home against Nebraska in a battle of unbeatens, but the efficiency numbers reveal a massive gap. The Wolverines rank first nationally in adjusted net efficiency while Nebraska sits 38th, and that defensive dominance should be the difference in Ann Arbor.

Purdue heads to Assembly Hall as a 4.5 to 5.5-point favorite against Indiana in a Big Ten clash between elite offense and stout defense. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Boilermakers’ adjusted offensive efficiency and ball movement should overcome the Hoosiers’ defensive identity.