Houston allows just 61.4 points per game, but they face a BYU offense led by freshman phenom AJ Dybantsa. We examine the pace of play and interior rebounding splits to find the winning edge for tonight’s 10:30 PM ET tip-off on ESPN.

Georgia lays 1.5 on the road at LSU in a clash of styles that could define both SEC seasons. The Bulldogs rank 8th nationally in adjusted net efficiency and lead the country in scoring, but can they execute when LSU grinds the pace to a crawl? Bash breaks down why the Tigers are live at home.

Duke travels to Chapel Hill as 5-point road favorites in the storied rivalry, and the efficiency numbers back it up. The Blue Devils’ elite defense and adjusted net efficiency gap suggest this line might be light—here’s why laying the points makes sense.

Illinois brings the #3 adjusted offense in the country to face Michigan State’s #4 adjusted defense in a Big Ten clash that’s essentially a pick’em. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Illini’s elite efficiency makes them the play at +1.5.

Belmont takes their 9-1 record and elite defensive efficiency into Chicago as 3.5-point favorites against UIC. Bryan Bash breaks down why the market’s giving the Flames too much credit for home court when the efficiency gap tells a much different story.

Murray State travels to Southern Illinois as a 1-point favorite, but the adjusted efficiency numbers reveal why this spread is essentially a pick’em. The Racers rank 16th in offensive rating but 326th defensively, while the Salukis hold a significant defensive edge at 115th. In a low-possession MVC battle, home court and defense matter most.

Northern Iowa’s laying 3.5 at home against Bradley in a classic MVC defensive battle. The Panthers boast the #2 defensive rating in the country, and in a game with just 60 possessions, that efficiency gap becomes the entire story.

Illinois State lays 9.5 at home against Drake in a Missouri Valley Conference battle. The efficiency numbers point to the Redbirds, but can Drake’s ball security keep this closer than expected?

VCU wants a track meet while Dayton prefers to grind. Bash explains how the Rams’ ability to control the tempo and dominate second-chance points defines his prediction for this Friday night A-10 battle.

UConn’s elite adjusted defensive efficiency meets St. John’s high-octane transition offense in New York. We analyze the pace differential and rebounding splits to provide a sharp prediction for Friday’s marquee matchup.