Indiana Hoosiers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Pick

by | Nov 19, 2020 | cfb

Indiana Hoosiers (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (3-0, 2-1), 11/21/20

Time: 12 pm ET Saturday, Nov. 21

Where: Ohio Stadium

TV: Fox

Point spread: Ind +20.5/OSU -20.5 (Find the best sports betting bonus)

Money line: Hoosiers +650/Buckeyes -1115

Over/Under: 66

A berth in the Big Ten championship game, and possibly more, could be on the line when Ohio State entertains upstart Indiana Saturday afternoon at the Horseshoe in Columbus. Once again, the Buckeyes are in the chase for a spot in the College Football Playoff while Indiana is playing its most important game since before we can remember. OSU’s favored by three touchdowns for this one; what’s our play with our free college football pick?

College Football Betting Odds

College football betting odds opened Ohio State at -19.5 over Indiana, with an over/under of right around 64. Early betting action then bumped the Buckeyes to -20.5, and that total to 66.

Hoosiers Betting Preview

Indiana is off to its first 4-0 Big Ten start since 1987, after blanking Michigan State last week 24-0. The Hoosiers scored twice in the previous two minutes of the first quarter to lead 14-0, took a 24-0 advantage into halftime, and cruise-controlled it from there for the win and the cover as 7.5-point favorites.

Indiana out-gained the Spartans 433-191, out-rushed Michigan State 113-60, dominated time of possession by a 39:21 split, and won the turnover battle 4-2, creating a +11 points differential.

The Hoosiers have now out-gained and out-rushed each of their last three opponents.

Two weeks ago, Indiana pounded Michigan 38-21, winning outright as a 4.5-point underdog. Three weeks ago, the Hoosiers beat Rutgers 37-21, covering as 11-point favorites. And four weeks ago, Indiana opened its season with that crazy 36-35 overtime victory over Penn State.

At 4-0 in conference play, the Hoosiers lead the Big Ten East by a half-game over Ohio State.
The Buckeyes, meanwhile, are 3-0 on the season, after disposing of Rutgers two weeks ago 49-27. Ohio State then had last week’s scheduled contest against Maryland canceled.


Buckeyes Betting Preview

OSU drove its first possession of the game against the Scarlet Knights 89 yards to a touchdown, punted on their next possession, then scored touchdowns on their next four to lead 35-3 into halftime. The Buckeyes later led 42-9 in the third quarter but took their foot off the gas, won easily but came up short ATS as 37-point favorites.

Ohio State out-gained Rutgers 517-373, and three-quarters of the yardage the OSU defense allowed came in garbage time. So the Buckeyes have now out-gained each of their three opponents this season by at least 121 yards.

Two weeks ago, Ohio State beat Penn State 38-25, covering at -10, and three weeks ago, the Buckeyes beat Nebraska 52-17, covering at -28.

At 3-0, overall, Ohio State isn’t just playing for a division title; it’s shooting for a return trip to the College Football Playoff. And style points still count.

Hoosiers-Buckeyes Recent History

Ohio State owns a 25-game winning streak over Indiana that stretches back to 1991. But the Hoosiers are 7-2 ATS over the last nine meetings, keeping most games relatively close as large underdogs. Last year, though, the Buckeyes rolled over Indiana 51-10, covering at -17.

College Football Betting Trends

  1. Indiana is 9-4 both SU and ATS over its last 13 Big Ten games.
  2. Indiana is 5-1 ATS its last six games as a double-digit underdog.
  3. Ohio State is 13-0 SU, 9-4 ATS in Big Ten play under Coach Day.
  4. Ohio State is 10-7 ATS its last 17 games as a favorite of fewer than 21 points.

Totals Report

Overs are 3-1 in Hoosiers games this season, which are averaging 53 total points against an average over/under of 56.

Totals are split 1-1-1 in Buckeyes games this season, which are averaging 69 points against an average O/U of 65.

Overs are 6-3 over the last nine meetings in the series between these teams, which have trended high-scoring.

Free College Football Pick

The Hoosiers showed character last week, avoiding a letdown after beating Michigan, which leads us to believe they can do it again. They’re getting good play at quarterback and opportunistic play on defense, and they’ve got enough elsewhere to help keep this one close. Yes, Ohio State is still probably going to win this game, but we gotta take the Hoosiers and the points. When you bet on football/basketball games, a sportsbook charges you -110 odds. Did you know that there is a betting site out there that only charges -105? Yes! —> BetAnySports