Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators Preview – Pick

Florida Gators (4-2) -7, o/u no line vs. Kentucky Wildcats (6-1) 3:30 p.m. Eastern, Saturday, October 20, 2007 on CBS.
by Jerald of

The Florida Gators will meet the Kentucky Wildcats in this SEC showdown. Florida is coming off a bye after losing to LSU 24-28 2 weeks ago. Kentucky comes off a huge win against LSU in triple overtime, 43-37.

Florida has won the last 10 meetings between these teams but Kentucky has covered the pointspread in the last 6, each time being a double digit underdog.

Florida is led by Sophomore QB Tim Tebow who is a dual threat QB. Tebow has completed 65.5% of his passes for 1,455 yards, 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. He has also ran for 500 yards and 9 touchdowns.

Kentucky is led by Senior QB Andre Woodson who has completed 63.7% of his passes for 1,786 yards, 21 touchdowns and 4 interceptions.

Florida ranks 25th in total offense with an average of 202.8 yards rushing (5.29 yards per rush) and 246.7 yards passing per game. They rank 12th in scoring offense averaging 39.7 points per game. The Wildcats offense ranks 17th in total offense averaging 200.0 yards rushing (5.13 yards per carry) and 260.0 yards passing. Kentucky ranks 7th in scoring offense averaging 42.7 points per game.

The Gators defense ranks 31st in total defense giving up an average of 94.0 yards rushing (2.88 yards per carry) and 230.2 yards passing per game. They rank 35th in scoring defense giving up an average of 21.0 points per game. Kentucky ranks 60th in total defense giving up 184.7 yards rushing (4.73 yards per carry) and 186.6 yards passing. They rank 65th in scoring defense giving up 26.4 points per game.

The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at rank the Gators 8th at 90.17. Kentucky ranks 14th at 84.97.

Florida opened up as a 7 point favorite. The line has stayed at Florida -7 at most betting shops. At the time of this writing, the public was backing Kentucky 51%-49%.

The Predictem Pick: We look for the Kentucky to have difficulty stopping the Florida offense after a highly emotional win last week. We suggest a wager on Florida minus the points.

FLORIDA 38 Kentucky 24