Oklahoma Sooners (4-1) -10, o/u 54.5 vs. Texas Longhorns (4-1) 3:30 p.m. Eastern, Saturday, October 6, 2007 on ABC.
by Jerald of Predictem.com
The Oklahoma Sooners will meet the Texas Longhorns in the Red River Shootout. Both teams are coming off shocking upsets last week and enter this game hoping to keep Big 12 and National Title hopes alive.
These teams met last year as Texas defeated Oklahoma 28-10-10. Texas has won the past 2 matchups but the previous 5 were won by the Sooners.
Oklahoma is led by Freshman QB Sam Bradford who has completed 72.2% of his passes for 1,179 yards, 15 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Allen Patrick is the leading rusher with 401 yards (7.7 yards per carry) and 5 touchdowns.
Texas is led by Sophomore QB Colt McCoy who has completed 63.4% of his passes for 1,254 yards, 8 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. Jamaal Charles is the leading rusher with 543 yards (5.43 yards per carry) and 7 touchdowns.
Oklahoma ranks 11th in total offense with an average of 225.4 yards rushing (5.58 yards per rush) and 270.4 yards passing per game. They rank 3rd in scoring offense averaging 54.0 points per game. The Longhorns offense ranks 36th in total offense averaging 172.4 yards rushing (4.56 yards per carry) and 254.2 yards passing. Texas ranks 31st in scoring offense averaging 33.8 points per game.
The Sooners defense ranks 7th in total defense giving up an average of 67.6 yards rushing (1.86 yards per carry) and 196.0 yards passing per game. They rank 11th in scoring defense giving up an average of 14.8 points per game. Texas ranks 23rd in total defense giving up 88.8 yards rushing (2.58 yards per carry) and 214.0 yards passing. They rank 48th in scoring defense giving up 25.0 points per game.
The Sagarin PREDICTOR ratings at USAToday.com rank the Sooners 4th at 89.2. Texas ranks 25th at 80.68.
Oklahoma opened up as a 10 point favorite with a total of 57. The line
has risen to Oklahoma -12.5 and 54.5 at most sportsbooks.
At the time of this writing, the public was backing the Texas 56%-44%.
We like to look for the underdog in these rivalry games and it looks like
we have good value here with Texas getting 12.5 points. We expect a tough
game with the Sooners coming out on top in a close game. Take the points!
Oklahoma 31 Texas 28