Braves vs. Mariners Analysis & Predictions 9/9/22

by | Last updated Sep 9, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Friday September 9th, 09:40 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: Apple TV+
Money Line: Braves -115 / Mariners -105
Total Line: 7.5


Atlanta: Charlie Morton (7-5, 4.02)
Seattle: Robbie Ray (12-8, 3.45)

Braves Projected Lineup

Vaughn Grissom 2B
Michael Harris II CF
William Contreras C
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Travis d’Arnaud C
Austin Riley 3B
Marcell Ozuna LF
Matt Olson 1B
Dansby Swanson SS
Charlie Morton P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Adam Frazier LF
Taylor Trammell RF
Jesse Winker LF
Cal Raleigh C
Eugenio Suárez 3B
J.P. Crawford SS
Mitch Haniger RF
Julio Rodriguez CF
Ty France 1B
Robbie Ray P


Atlanta Braves: 86-51-0 SU / OU 70-59-8 / Run Line W/L 71-66-0
Seattle Mariners: 77-60-0 SU / OU 63-67-7 / Run Line W/L 74-63-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Atlanta Braves on Friday September 9th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a 4-run win over Oakland by a score of 7-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 3 hits. The Braves lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 10 hits, leading to 7 runs. In the matchup, Atlanta was favored at -300.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 115 of their games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. Together, the Braves and Oakland combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 7.0 runs. Atlanta now has an over-under record of 70-59-8.

The Braves come into this game having won all 5 of their recent games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +19. Offensively, the team has put up 34 runs in their last 5 games. Atlanta’s season average comes in at 4.99 (2nd. So far, Atlanta has won over half of their 43 series played, going 24-13-6.

Seattle will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the White Sox by the score of 9-6. Seattle’s pitching staff gave up 8 hits, leading to 9 runs for the White Sox. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 8 hits. Seattle dropped the game despite being favored at -200.0. So far, the team has won 66.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Mariners and White Sox went over the run total line set at 7.0 runs. Against the run total, Seattle is just 63-67-7.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +6. Seattle is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.19. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 23-17-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Atlanta Braves will send Charlie Morton to the mound with an overall record of 7-5. So far, Morton has put together an ERA of 4.02. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.58 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.223 against Morton. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Morton is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.3 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Charlie Morton has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28.9%. This includes a per-game average of 6.73 K’s per game. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Morton is averaging 3.21 free passes per outing.

Seattle will roll with Robbie Ray (12-8) as their starter. So far, Ray has put together an ERA of 3.45. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.97 innings. Ray will take the mound with a BA allowed of 0.22. Home runs have been a concern for Ray as he is allowing 1.34 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Robbie Ray has a strong K% of 28%, including a per-game average of 6.78. Command has been a problem for Ray, as he is giving up 2.95 walks per outing.

Atlanta vs Seattle History

Today’s game between the Atlanta Braves and Seattle Mariners is their first matchup of the year.

Betting Trends

  • Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games.
  • Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series.
  • Mariners are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games.

Atlanta Braves at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Leading into Friday’s matchup between Atlanta and Seattle, the Braves are the slight favorite on the moneyline. However, look for the Mariners to come out on top, as Robbie Ray has been on fire of late, giving up just 1 run in each of his last 3 games. I like Seattle on the moneyline.

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