Braves vs. Rockies Odds & Predictions

by | Jun 4, 2022 | mlb

Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Saturday, June 4th, 09:10 ET

Location: Coors Field

TV: ATT SportsNet-RM

Money Line: Braves -150 / Rockies +126

Total Line: 12.0

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STARTING PITCHING

Atlanta: Spencer Strider (1-2, 3.45)
Colorado: Kyle Freeland (1-5, 4.96)

Braves Projected Lineup

Ozzie Albies 2B
Adam Duvall LF
Matt Olson 1B
Ronald Acuña Jr. RF
Travis d’Arnaud C
Austin Riley 3B
Michael Harris II CF
Marcell Ozuna LF
Dansby Swanson SS
Spencer Strider P

Rockies Projected Lineup

Randal Grichuk RF
José Iglesias SS
Ryan McMahon 3B
Charlie Blackmon RF
Brendan Rodgers 2B
Elias Díaz C
C.J. Cron 1B
Connor Joe LF
Yonathan Daza CF
Kyle Freeland P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Atlanta Braves: 26-27-0 SU / OU 29-21-3 / Run Line W/L 26-27-0
Colorado Rockies: 23-29-0 SU / OU 29-22-1 / Run Line W/L 23-29-0

The Colorado Rockies host the Atlanta Braves on Saturday, June 4th at Coors Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Atlanta as the favorite (-150), with an OU line set at 12.0.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, Atlanta picked up a 2-run win over the Rockies (3-1). Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Rockies to 1 run on 3 hits. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just 3 runs on their 8 hits. Heading into their last game, Atlanta was the betting favorite, at -180.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 43 of their games, winning at a rate of 56.0%. Combined, the Braves and Rockies fell short of the over-under betting line of 11.0 runs. Atlanta games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 29-21-3.

The Braves are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +10. Offensively, the team has put up 31 runs in their last 5 games. Atlanta’s season average comes in at 4.32 (14th. Atlanta’s overall series record is just 5-7-5.

In Colorado’s last outing, they fell by a score of 3-1 to the Braves. Despite the losing effort, the team’s pitchers held the Braves to 3 runs and 8 hits. At the plate, the Rockies only came through for 1 run on 3 hits. Leading into Colorado’s loss, they were the underdogs, getting 150.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has gone into 35 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 40.0%. Combined, the Rockies and Braves’ run total fell below the over-under line of 11.0 runs. Even still, Colorado games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 29-22-1.

In their last 5 contests, the Rockies have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -15 over their last 5 games. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 5.6, nearly a full run higher than their season-long average of 4.69. Colorado has a below .500 series record of just 7-9-1.

Pitching Matchup

Atlanta will roll with Spencer Strider (1-2) as their starter. To date, Strider has an ERA of 3.45 while lasting an average of 2.35 innings per appearance. Through 12 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.178. Home runs have also not been an issue for Strider, as he’s giving up just 0.32 per 9. Overall, he is averaging 3.67 per game, on a K rate of 39.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 4.08 walks per contest.

Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies, with an overall record of 1-5. To date, Freeland has an ERA of 4.96, while lasting an average of 5.22 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the left-hander, with a batting average of 0.293. So far, Freeland has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.86 home runs per 9 innings. Freeland is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.2 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 17.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.25 walks per outing.

Atlanta vs Colorado History

Today’s matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Colorado Rockies will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Atlanta has the lead in the series at 2-0. Through 2nd games, the series’ over-under record is 1-1, with the average run total sitting at 9.33 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.5 runs. Dating back to last season, Colorado picked up 4 wins compared to 2, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 1-4, with the average run total being 9.33 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.0 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

Atlanta is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado’s last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies Prediction

Even though Atlanta and Colorado combined for just 4 runs in yesterday’s contest, Vegas is expecting a high-scoring game on Saturday night. Currently, the over-under line is set at 12 runs. I expect the Braves offense to jump all over Kyle Freeland and his WHIP of 1.56. Look for this game to go over 12 runs.

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