Guardians vs. Mariners Total Pick 8/26/22

by | Aug 26, 2022 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Friday August 26th, 10:10 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: Apple TV+

Money Line: Guardians -105 / Mariners -115

Total Line: 7.0

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STARTING PITCHING

Cleveland: Shane Bieber (8-7, 3.17)
Seattle: Logan Gilbert (10-5, 3.58)

Guardians Projected Lineup

Owen Miller 1B
Austin Hedges C
Andrés Giménez 2B
Oscar Gonzalez RF
José Ramírez 3B
Myles Straw CF
Josh Naylor 1B
Steven Kwan LF
Amed Rosario SS
Shane Bieber P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Cal Raleigh C
J.P. Crawford SS
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Sam Haggerty LF
Adam Frazier 2B
Jesse Winker LF
Mitch Haniger RF
Julio Rodriguez CF
Ty France 1B
Logan Gilbert P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Cleveland Guardians: 66-57-0 SU / OU 56-59-7 / Run Line W/L 66-56-0
Seattle Mariners: 68-57-0 SU / OU 60-58-6 / Run Line W/L 63-61-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Cleveland Guardians on Friday August 26th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Cleveland Guardians will look to bounce back from a 3-1 loss to Seattle. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited Seattle to 3 runs on 4 hits. The Guardians benefited from an offense that generated 7 runs on 6 hits. In the matchup, Cleveland was favored at -120.0 on the moneyline. Through 63 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 60.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. With this result, Cleveland’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 56-59-7.

The Guardians come into this game with a 3-2 record over their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +8. Cleveland has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.2 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.35. So far, Cleveland has won over half of their 39 series played, going 18-11-10.

In Seattle’s last outing, they picked up a 3-1 win over the Guardians. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 6 hits. The Mariners’ offense ended the game with just 1 run on 4 hits. Leading into Seattle’s loss they were the underdogs, getting 100.0 on the moneyline. In their 61 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 44.0%. With this result, the Mariners and Guardians combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Seattle still has an above .500 over-under record at (60-58-6).

The Mariners come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -1. If Seattle is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.8 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.14. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 20-16-3.

Pitching Matchup

Shane Bieber gets the start for the Guardians, with an overall record of 8-7. In his previous outings, Bieber has lasted an average of 6.3 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.17. Across his previous appearances, the right-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.236. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Bieber, as he is allowing just 0.68 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Shane Bieber has a strong strikeout percentage of 25.0%, including a per-game average of 6.26. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Bieber is averaging 1.92 free passes per outing.

The Seattle Mariners will send Logan Gilbert to the mound with an overall record of 10-5. So far, Gilbert has put together an ERA of 3.58. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.72 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.249. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below average rate against Gilbert, as he is allowing just 1.07 per 9 innings. Overall, Logan Gilbert has struck out 22.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 5.24 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.57 walks per outing.

Cleveland vs Seattle History

Today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and Seattle Mariners is their first matchup of the year. Dating back to last season, Seattle picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-3, with the average scoring differential sitting at 3.29 runs. Between the games, the average run total was 7.86 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland’s last 8 games on the road
  • Seattle is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
  • Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Friday night’s matchup between Cleveland and Seattle, look for this game to play out like last night’s affair, with pitching leading the way. With Shane Bieber and Logan Gilbert on the mound, this game should once again finish below the over-under line of 7 runs.

Free MLB Pick: Under 7 Runs

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