Reds vs. Yankees Runline Pick: Payback in NY

by | Last updated Jul 13, 2022 | mlb

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, July 13th, 07:05 ET

Location: Yankee Stadium

TV: Bally Sports Ohio

Money Line: Reds +245 / Yankees -305 (Get the best MLB lines >>> It’ll increase your odds of winning and assure you’re getting the max payout!)

Total Line: 9.0


Cincinnati: Mike Minor (1-6, 6.63)
New York: Luis Severino (5-3, 3.11)

Reds Projected Lineup

Kyle Farmer SS
Mike Moustakas 1B
Tyler Stephenson C
Tyler Naquin RF
Brandon Drury 3B
Nick Senzel CF
Tommy Pham LF
Joey Votto 1B
Jonathan India 2B
Mike Minor P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Aaron Hicks CF
Jose Trevino C
Gleyber Torres 2B
Josh Donaldson 3B
Giancarlo Stanton LF
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Aaron Judge RF
Luis Severino P


Cincinnati Reds: 33-54-0 SU / OU 46-40-1 / Run Line W/L 40-47-0
New York Yankees: 61-26-0 SU / OU 40-45-2 / Run Line W/L 43-44-0

The New York Yankees host the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday, July 13th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-305), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

In the Cincinnati Reds’ last game, they picked up a 4-3 win over the Yankees. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Yankees to 3 runs on 9 hits. The Reds benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 7 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 250.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. Cincinnati games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 46-40-1.

The Reds will look to continue their strong play, as they are 5-0 over their last five contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +12. Offensively, the team has put up 26 runs in their last 5 games. Cincinnati’s season average comes in at 4.26 (19th. Cincinnati’s overall series record is just 8-15-6.

The Yankees will look to bounce back from a tight 4-3 loss to the Reds. Even in the loss, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 7 hits. The Yankees offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 9 hits. New York dropped the game despite being favored at -300.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 82 games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. Combined, the Yankees and Reds’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Now, New York had an over-under record of 40-45-2.

In their last 5 contests, the Yankees have just 2 wins, going 2-3. Despite this record, the team still has a positive run differential of +1 (last 5). Despite their struggles in the win column, the offense has averaged 6.4 runs over their last 5 games. This is an improvement over their season-long mark of 5.21. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 20-4-5.

Pitching Matchup

Cincinnati will roll with Mike Minor (1-6) as their starter. So far, Minor has put together an ERA of 6.63. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.43 innings. Compared to other starters, the left-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.278. Opponents are hitting for power against Minor, as his HR/9 figure sits at 2.84. Minor has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 4.57 K’s per game on a K rate of 19.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.84 walks per contest.

Luis Severino gets the start for the Yankees, with an overall record of 5-3. Heading into the game, Severino has appeared in 15 contests, posting an ERA of just 3.11. On average, he pitches 5.6 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.205 against him. This year, home runs have been an issue for Severino. So far, he has allowed 1.18 per 9 innings. Overall, Luis Severino has struck out 28% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.27 K’s per game. Severino comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, averaging 2.46 free passes per outing.

Cincinnati vs New York History

For the season, the Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees will be playing their 2nd game of the season. So far, Cincinnati is leading the season series, 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 0-1, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s interleague matchup between Cincinnati and New York, the Yankees are the heavy favorite to bounce back from a tough loss. So far, the Reds have won just 1 time with Mike Minor getting the start. Look for the Yankees to win by multiple runs in today’s game. I recommend New York on the runline.

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Will Rodgers Sports HandicapperI won my last two MLB playoff picks and am going for three straight on Friday in Game 1 of the World Series! I had a sparkling run down the stretch (in the regular season), and look to finish in the same fashion in the postseason. Hop on board now!

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