Seattle Mariners vs. Atlanta Braves Total Pick 5/19/23

Date: Friday, May 19th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: APLTV
Money Line: Mariners +124/Braves -146
Total Line: 8.5
Betting Preview
Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Mariners on Friday, May 19th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.
Betting Odds
| ML | RL | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | +124 | +1.5 | O 8.5 (-117) |
| ATL | -146 | -1.5 | U 8.5 (-103) |
Mariners vs. Braves Projected Lineup
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodríguez | 1 | CF |
| Ty France | 2 | 1B |
| Jarred Kelenic | 3 | CF |
| Eugenio Suárez | 4 | 3B |
| Cal Raleigh | 5 | C |
| Teoscar Hernández | 6 | RF |
| J.P. Crawford | 7 | SS |
| Jose Caballero | 8 | SS |
| Kolten Wong | 9 | 2B |
| Bryce Miller | – | SP |
| Batting Order | Position | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | 1 | RF |
| Matt Olson | 2 | 1B |
| Austin Riley | 3 | 3B |
| Sean Murphy | 4 | C |
| Eddie Rosario | 5 | LF |
| Ozzie Albies | 6 | 2B |
| Travis d’Arnaud | 7 | C |
| Michael Harris II | 8 | CF |
| Orlando Arcia | 9 | 2B |
| Bryce Elder | – | SP |
Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record
Seattle Mariners: 21-22 SU / OU 21-22 / Runline 21-22Atlanta Braves: 27-16 SU / OU 26-16 / Runline 20-23
Heading into their game vs. the Braves, the Mariners have a record of 21-22 and have dropped two straight games. In the AL West, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 6-7. At home, they have gone 10-12 and 11-10 on the road.
- The Mariners have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.4.
- The Mariners have been favored in 72.1% of their games and have runline records of 9-13 and 12-9 at home and on the road, respectively
- So far, the Mariners have an over/under record of just 21-22.
Currently, the Braves are first in the NL East with a record of 27-16. Over their last ten games, Atlanta has gone .500 at 5-5. On the road, they have put together a record of 17-7 and are 10-9 at home. The clubs overall series record stands at 9-3.
- The Braves have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.4.
- The Braves have been favored in 81.4% of their games and have runline records of 5-14 and 15-9 at home and on the road, respectively
- The over has hit in 62% of the Braves’ 43 games at 26-16.
Pitching Matchup
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 3 | 3 | 19 | 2-0 | .47 | .42 | 0 |
Seattle is looking to Bryce Miller to deliver yet another impressive performance, given he has earned a win in two consecutive games. So far he has an ERA of .47 and record of 2-0. Throughout the season, he has accumulated 18 strikeouts and has a batting average allowed of .111. In terms of slugging percentage, teams have SLG of .143 vs. Miller.
The last time Bryce Miller took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 5-0 against the Tigers. Miller gave up zero runs and three hits across seven innings.
| Pitcher | Appearances | Started | IP | Record | ERA | WHIP | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Elder | 8 | 8 | 46 | 3-0 | 1.94 | 1.12 | 3 |
The Braves will turn to starter Bryce Elder who has an overall record of 3-0. After eight appearances, his ERA is 1.94 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.56 and an OBP of .291.
Bryce Elder finished with a no-decision in his last outing against the Blue Jays. He allowed two runs on five hits over five innings. The Braves went on to lose the game by a score of 5-2.
Mariners vs. Braves Offense Outlook
After 43 games played, the Mariners are 15th in the league with an average of 4.4 runs per game. In terms of home runs, the club is 20th, on a total of 45 homers. The team’s overall batting average, including .226 on the road and .221 at home, is .227.
Seattle Mariners Top Hitters On The Road
| Player | BA | HR | SLG | WOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Kelenic | .308 | 5 | .590 | .405 |
| Teoscar Hernández | .239 | 4 | .432 | .300 |
| Ty France | .235 | 0 | .294 | .267 |
| Eugenio Suárez | .220 | 3 | .341 | .305 |
| Julio Rodríguez | .210 | 3 | .346 | .280 |
Seattle Mariners Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh | .353 | 6 | 5 | 2 | .760 |
| Teoscar Hernández | .400 | 8 | 3 | 1 | .650 |
| Eugenio Suárez | .250 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .400 |
| Jarred Kelenic | .180 | 4 | 4 | 1 | .380 |
| Julio Rodríguez | .150 | 3 | 2 | 0 | .200 |
The Braves come into the game ranked 6th in the league on an average of 5.3 runs per game. When it comes to home runs, Atlanta is 2nd, having hit the ball out of the park 74 times. Their overall batting average stands at .257. On the road, they are hitting .255 while .248 at home.
Atlanta Braves Top Bats
| BA | OBP | SLG | RBI | HR | SB | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | .345 | .437 | .613 | 27 | 11 | 18 |
| Matt Olson | .230 | .367 | .491 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| Sean Murphy | .268 | .400 | .575 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games
| Player | BA | H | R | HR | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | .350 | 7 | 6 | 4 | .950 |
| Orlando Arcia | .467 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1.167 |
| Marcell Ozuna | .350 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .800 |
| Ozzie Albies | .237 | 5 | 3 | 1 | .437 |
| Austin Riley | .290 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .460 |
Free MLB Pick
Although this selection might seem like a square pick, both starting pitchers have been performing exceptionally well this season. Bryce Miller from the Seattle Mariners has only made three career starts so far, and impressively, he has recorded a quality start in each of them. In total, he has pitched for 21 innings and has only allowed one earned run.
On the other side, the Atlanta Braves have Bryce Elder, who has more experience, having played last season and already making eight starts this year. While his recent performances haven’t been as strong, it’s important to note that overall, he has held the opposing teams to three or fewer runs in seven out of his eight starts.
Considering the impressive performances of both pitchers, it’s a challenging decision. However, based on their track records, it seems like they will likely limit the opposition’s scoring. Take the Under 8.5
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