LA Clippers at Phoenix Suns Game 5 Pick ATS

by | Jun 28, 2021 | nba

Los Angeles Clippers (47-25 SU, 39-32 ATS) at Phoenix Suns (51-21, 42-28), 6/28/21

When: 9 pm ET Monday, June 28

Where: Suns Arena

TV: TNT

NBA point spread: LAC +5.5/Phx -5.5

Total: 215

The Phoenix Suns find themselves one win away from their first NBA Finals berth since 1993, heading into Game 5 of this Western Conference finals with the Clippers Monday night in Phoenix. The Suns won the first two games of this best-of-seven affair, lost Game 3 in Los Angeles but bounced back to take Game 4 and a 3-1 series lead Saturday night. Can Phoenix put Los Angeles out of its misery? Can the Clippers force a Game 6 back in LA? Here’s how we homeworked this Game 5, with our free NBA playoffs betting pick.

NBA Playoffs Betting Odds

The NBA playoffs betting market opened Phoenix at -6 for Monday night’s game, with an over/under of right around 216. Early betting action then dipped the Suns to -5.5 and that total to 215.

Bettors looking to bypass the point spread here and just bet the winner of this game outright could get Phoenix at -205 at Pinnacle while Los Angeles was getting +190 at BetOnline.

Clippers-Suns NBA Playoffs Betting Preview

Phoenix leads this series three games to one following its 84-80 Game 4 victory at Staples Center Saturday night. The Suns popped out to a 14-2 lead and took a 50-36 advantage into the half. Phoenix later let Los Angeles get within one point four times in the fourth quarter but held on for the win and the cover as one-point post-time underdogs.

Game 4 also played way under its total of 218 as both teams had serious troubles throwing the ball in the hole; Phoenix shot just 36 percent from the field, Los Angeles just 33 percent. But the Suns won the battle on the boards 59-51.

With Saturday’s win/cover, Phoenix is now 11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS this postseason.

The Clippers are now 9-8 SU, 10-7 ATS this postseason with Saturday’s loss.

Los Angeles also lost the first two games of its first two series this postseason against Dallas and Utah, then won the next two games to pull even. But they couldn’t pull that off against this Suns team.

Through the first four games of this series, Phoenix is shooting 45 percent from the floor, the Clippers just 39 percent. Meanwhile, the rebounding is just about exactly even.

On the injury, Los Angeles is still playing without F Kawhi Leonard, who’s down with that torn knee. The Clippers are now 3-3 SU, 4-2 ATS since losing Leonard.

The Suns finished four games ahead of the Clippers in the regular-season standings, 51-21 to 47-25, but Los Angeles took the season series two games to one. So on the season, Phoenix is 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS against the Clippers.

Clippers-Suns NBA Betting Trends

  • The Clippers are 4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS on the road this postseason.
  • The Suns are 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS at home this postseason.
  • Home teams are 41-33 SU, 36-37 ATS this NBA postseason.
  • Favorites are 47-27 SU, 42-31 ATS this NBA postseason.

Totals Report

Unders are 9-8 in Clippers games this postseason.

Unders are 9-4 in Suns games this postseason.

Unders are 37-35 this NBA postseason.

Unders are 3-1 in this series, as the games are averaging 201 total points against an average over/under of 220.

Free NBA Playoffs Pick

From the beginning, we liked Phoenix to win this series, and with Leonard out for Los Angeles, five games sounded about right. The Suns are just the better, more complete team in this match-up, and they shoot 83 percent from the free-throw line, which comes in handy when trying to ice games and cover spreads. We played Phoenix for each of the first four games of this series, and while that only produced a 2-2 split, we’re sticking with the Suns for our free NBA playoff pick for Monday. Bet the game LIVE at the web’s BEST live wagering platform on the web + receive a 50% real cash bonus at Bovada Sportsbook!