RBD dives into Monday’s NBA handicapping board, breaking down Memphis vs Brooklyn using his proven T1 Over betting system.
Monday morning, March 9th, and I’m sitting in the sportsbook at the Golden Nugget in Vegas, doing my morning handicapping and writing up this article.
Life is good.
Now let’s see if we can make it even better by hitting tonight’s play.
And I think I’ve got a good one on tap.
T1 Overs are 37-21.
That’s a solid 61% play ON.
Tonight, Memphis at Brooklyn qualifies.
Like I always say regarding streaks – DON’T jump on one that’s already been established.
BUT… if you’ve been riding along on one anyway, and you’ve already got some units banked, ride that bronco until it bucks you.
And I’ve done well banking on this play so I’m going to use it again tonight.
That 37-21% is a league-wide stat, encompassing all teams in this spot.
Let’s take a look at each of the two teams that qualify tonight and see how they’ve done when they qualify for a T1 Over.
Memphis is 2-2, no damage there.
But we gain a significant edge with Brooklyn.
The Nets have been in this spot seven times and have a record of 6-1.
It may be 7-1, I’m not sure. I don’t take my notebooks with me when I’m on the road so in order to write this article with the proper stats I took a picture of my logbook page before I left this morning.
Problem is, I can’t read my own handwriting.
It’s either 6 W’s and one L next to Brooklyn, or 7 W’s, I can’t tell.
Doesn’t matter though, 6-1 is good enough for me!
This line opened at 225 and has already been bet down to 222′. As long as the line is moving in my favor I’ll wait to buy this one and monitor it throughout the day.
My play
Mem/Brook Ov (wait to buy)
Recap
1-1
Record
23-15
Review
Anyone who says that luck isn’t part of sports betting is either pompous or clueless.
Like it or not, luck plays a big part in this game.
Fortunately I had a little bit of luck on my plays in last night’s game between the Pistons and the Heat.
A 16 point Q2 killed any chance I had of Detroit covering the spread, but on their final possession the Pistons hit a meaningless three-pointer that pushed the total Over the 230 I bet.
So I ended up with a split, no damage to the bank roll.
