Bash breaks down Knicks-Jazz on Wednesday night, where a 12.5-point spread doesn’t match the projection or the situational reality in Salt Lake City.

Bash breaks down why the Raptors’ playoff-caliber efficiency and clutch execution create a small but real edge against a Pelicans defense that’s been bleeding points all season. The two-point spread underprices the talent gap.

Bash breaks down Cavaliers vs Magic on Wednesday night, finding value on Orlando’s home court with Cleveland dealing with key injuries and a situational spot that favors the home dog.

Bash breaks down why Houston’s elite offensive rebounding creates a 4.2-point edge against Denver’s spread. The Nuggets can’t control the glass, and in a slower-paced game, those second-chance points add up.

Bash fades Miami’s inflated spread and targets an over-priced total in a Tuesday night matchup where the Heat’s injuries and Washington’s competitive clutch profile create value on the Wizards +15.5 and the under 242.5.

Bash breaks down the Pacers-Kings matchup and finds value on Indiana plus the points and the under in a battle of 15-win lottery teams.

Bash breaks down why he’s fading the conference-leading Pistons in a letdown spot against a Brooklyn squad that just beat them Saturday night.

Bash breaks down why the market has overshot the Hawks’ spread against a tanking Mavericks team. The efficiency gap supports a mid-single-digit game, not a double-digit blowout.

Bash breaks down Tuesday’s Grizzlies-Sixers matchup between two injury-ravaged rosters and explains why the total looks too low for the pace these depleted benches will create.