NBA Picks

Toronto lays 4.5 on the road against a Kings team that’s 12-32 and just allowed 130 to Miami at home. The Raptors are 26-19 with an efficiency edge that’s wider than the spread suggests. Bash breaks down why this number is too low.

The Knicks are laying 11 points at home against a Nets team limping through a 12-29 season. New York’s 16-6 record at Madison Square Garden and talent advantage with Brunson, Towns, and Bridges should overwhelm Brooklyn’s limited depth. After Monday’s embarrassing loss to Dallas, the Knicks have motivation to dominate.

SGA is averaging 31.8 points and faces a Bucks defense allowing 115.6 points per game. We analyze the pace metrics and provide a free pick for tonight’s 226.0 total.

Memphis lays 2.5 at home against Atlanta in a matchup between two struggling teams. With a 238-point total and frontcourt injuries on both sides, this game sets up for pace and transition scoring to dominate.

The Cavaliers travel to Charlotte laying 3 points without Darius Garland, and that’s a narrow margin against a Hornets team that just dropped 110 on Denver. Cleveland’s missing their primary playmaker after a 32-point home loss, while Charlotte’s got multiple scoring threats and home-court advantage. This spread looks inflated given the circumstances.

Miami lays 2.5 points on the road against a Kings team that’s fallen apart defensively. Even without Herro and Rozier, Norman Powell and Bam Adebayo should have enough firepower to cover a short number against Sacramento’s 12-31 disaster.

Minnesota lays 11 points on the road against a depleted Jazz squad missing Walker Kessler. The Timberwolves have the talent edge, but Utah’s home scoring with Markkanen and George keeps this closer than the market expects.

Golden State lays 3.5 at home against Toronto, but Jimmy Butler’s knee injury and the back-to-back schedule create legitimate concerns. The Raptors’ road competency and top-end talent make them live as underdogs at Chase Center.