NBA Picks

Golden State is laying 10.5 points at home against Portland, but after the Warriors just gave up 124 points to Atlanta at Chase Center, this spread feels stretched. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Trail Blazers’ offensive firepower with Deni Avdija and Shaedon Sharpe can keep this game closer than the market expects.

The Bucks are laying 3.5 at home against a shorthanded Timberwolves squad, but Minnesota’s depth and Milwaukee’s inconsistent home performance make this number look generous. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Wolves can stay competitive even without Edwards and Gobert.

The Hawks are catching 3 points on the road against a Lakers squad missing Austin Reaves. Once you dig into the efficiency gap and how Atlanta performs away from home, this line starts to look generous.

Miami Heat lay just one point at home against Phoenix, but the efficiency gap and situational advantages tell a different story. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Suns’ healthy scoring duo and rest advantage make them the play at +1 against a compromised Heat team dealing with injuries and back-to-back fatigue.

The Thunder are 7.5-point favorites at home, but the Spurs have the defensive personnel and two-way talent to keep this closer than the market expects. Bryan Bash breaks down why San Antonio’s efficiency and Wembanyama’s impact make this spread too wide.

A classic RBD NBA betting analysis as he digs into Lakers vs Kings using Wrong Favorite systems, trends, and situational handicapping.

The Lakers are 9.5-point favorites in Sacramento, but without Austin Reaves and facing a Kings team with veteran scoring, this line feels stretched. Bryan Bash breaks down why Sacramento’s offense can keep this closer than the market expects.

Dallas lays 4 at home against Brooklyn, but the efficiency gap isn’t wide enough to cover. Porter Jr. and the Nets keep this one tight at American Airlines Center.