NBA Picks

The Cavaliers are laying 13 points at home against a Jazz team coming off a 55-point blowout loss. The market sees a motivated home team against a broken squad, but once you dig into the matchup data and offensive firepower Utah still possesses, that margin starts to feel stretched.

The Clippers are laying points at home against a Hornets team coming off a 150-point explosion, but once you dig into pace, efficiency, and how this matchup actually plays out, the margin feels stretched. Bryan Bash breaks down why Charlotte’s guard play keeps this one closer than the spread suggests.

The Celtics are laying 5.5 on the road without Tatum, but Boston’s depth and efficiency should be enough to cover against an 8-31 Pacers team that’s 6-15 at home. Bash breaks down why the line still holds value.

Philadelphia lays 3 points in the back-to-back rematch after Sunday’s overtime loss. With Toronto missing key rotation pieces and the 76ers potentially getting Embiid back, this line offers value on the road favorite.

Phoenix is laying 14 points at home against a depleted Wizards squad missing Trae Young. The Suns should win, but can they sustain the focus needed to cover a double-digit spread? Bash breaks down the efficiency gap and finds value on the number.

The Rockets are laying 12.5 points on the road in Sacramento, but with VanVleet out and Sengun questionable, Houston’s depleted rotation faces a Kings team in a desperation home spot. Bryan Bash breaks down why this spread is too wide given the current roster realities.

Orlando lays 6.5 at home against a wounded Pelicans squad that’s 3-14 on the road. Bryan Bash breaks down why the Magic’s depth and home-court advantage should be enough to cover against New Orleans’ thin rotation.

Memphis is laying 7 points at home without Ja Morant, and Bryan Bash explains why that number is inflated by at least a possession or two against a Nets team that’s more competent on the road than their record suggests.